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Septeni Holdings (SPIDY) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $442M

SH Septeni Holdings logo Septeni Holdings SPIDY · US
Price$2.13
Fair Value$2.02
Upside-5.2%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range $1.54 – $2.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $1.54 (bear) to $2.55 (bull), base $2.02. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$3.82 $1.10 Fair Value $2.02 Oct 2018 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.10 – $3.82 · fair‑value band $1.54 – $2.55 · the $2.13 price screens above the $2.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Septeni Holdings (SPIDY) currently trades at $2.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.02, implying the stock looks roughly 5.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Septeni Holdings generated revenue of $31.3B at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $12.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.54 (bear case) to $2.55 (bull case); at $2.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -5%, SPIDY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.49 $1.80 $2.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.52 $2.03 $2.59 74
ROIC Compounder $1.12 $1.20 $1.26 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.48 $1.82 $2.25 38
Owner Earnings $1.76 $2.20 $2.75 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.52 $2.02 $2.64 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.59 $2.14 $2.76 41
5Y P/E Exit $1.93 $2.75 $3.57 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.47 $1.88 $2.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.53 $1.96 $2.48 37
10Y P/E Exit $1.73 $2.34 $3.03 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.8004 $1.97 $2.56 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.3567 $0.5096 $0.6625 46
EPV $1.12 $1.20 $1.26 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.94 $2.59 $3.24 63
P/S Multiple $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 58
P/B Multiple $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 55
EV/EBIT $1.96 $2.43 $2.90 53
EV/EBITDA $1.82 $2.25 $2.67 54
EV/Revenue $1.61 $2.07 $2.53 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.04 $1.40 $2.09 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.49 $1.80 $2.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.52 $2.03 $2.59 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.53 $1.53 $1.41 61
ROIC Compounder $1.12 $1.20 $1.26 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.49 $2.12 $2.76 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($2.12) versus Earnings-Based ($1.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $31.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6%
Net margin 14.8%
Return on equity 7.1%
Free cash flow $3.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.4
More key figures
Operating margin 28.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.1100
EPS growth (YoY) +74.1%
Net cash $12.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Septeni Holdings Co., Ltd. operates in the digital marketing business. The company operates through three segments: Marketing Communication business, Direct Business, Data Solutions, and Others Segments.

Full company description

Septeni Holdings Co., Ltd. operates in the digital marketing business. The company operates through three segments: Marketing Communication business, Direct Business, Data Solutions, and Others Segments. The Marketing Communication business segment offers DX support services through integrated marketing services focused on digital advertising sales and operations. The Direct Business segment provides integrated client support services by executing business strategy planning, and direct response promotions and CRM in B2C and B2B areas. The Data Solutions segment offers data collection, integration, and utilization services; and develops and delivers data- and AI-driven solutions, as well as is involved in the support client development and dispatch engineering personnel activities. It also operates in the employment platform business; and provides solutions that utilize an AI matching system and support the design of recruitment and training system. Septeni Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Septeni Holdings Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Dentsu Group Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Septeni Holdings reported revenue of $29.8B in FY2025 versus $21.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was $3.8B in FY2025, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$29.8B
Latest YoY
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Revenue +8.7%/yr
FY21 $21.4B
FY22 $28.8B
FY23 $27.3B
FY24 $28.3B
FY25 $29.8B
Net income +9.6%/yr
FY21 $2.6B
FY22 $5.7B
FY23 $3.7B
FY24 $5.5B
FY25 $3.8B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share −9.9 pp

of which total revenue −5.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.8 pp

EBIT margin +8.0 pp
Tax rate +2.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Septeni Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPIDY

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 26 · sector 19
FUTURE 58 · sector 8
PAST 28 · sector 7
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Septeni Holdings (SPIDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.02 versus a price of $2.13, about −5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SPIDY?
Our model-based fair value for Septeni Holdings is $2.02 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.13.
What is the quality score of SPIDY?
Septeni Holdings has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Septeni Holdings (SPIDY)?
Septeni Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $31.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPIDY?
The net profit margin of Septeni Holdings is about 14.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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