Sigmaroc PLC (SRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sigmaroc PLC £1.46, price £1.30, upside +12.3%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.3740 – £1.50 · fair‑value band £0.7800 – £2.53 · the £1.30 price screens below the £1.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SigmaRoc plc, through its subsidiaries, invests, acquires, and integrates businesses in the quarried materials sector in the United Kingdom, Ireland, western Europe, Central Europe, and Nordics.
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SigmaRoc plc, through its subsidiaries, invests, acquires, and integrates businesses in the quarried materials sector in the United Kingdom, Ireland, western Europe, Central Europe, and Nordics. It also produces aggregates, stone, granite, concrete blocks and precast elements, asphalts, ready-mix concrete, precast concrete, and other stone products; supplies value-added industrial and construction materials; and provides shipping logistics, road contracting, waste recycling, and patent and licensing services, as well as engages in the limestone quarrying and processing activities. In addition, the company offers crushing stone, retaining wall system, railway operation, information technology, and CO2 management services. The company was formerly known as Messaging International Plc and changed its name to SigmaRoc plc in August 2016. SigmaRoc plc is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Sigmaroc PLC (SRC) currently trades at £1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 11.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of £3.10 per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the £1.30 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.5000, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £0.7800 (bear) to £2.53 (bull), the price of £1.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sigmaroc PLC reported revenue of £1.0B in FY2025 versus £272M in FY2021, a compound +39.7%/yr. Reported net income was £79.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.5B GBX · P/E ratio 18.6 · P/S ratio 1.43 · EPS (TTM) £0.0700 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 7.7% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 12%, SRC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.7800Fair Value £1.46Bull £2.53
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0512 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +76.8% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 15%
2025 sits 248% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.8%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.6% a year for the price and +1.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside+12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.64× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sigmaroc PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SRC
Frequently asked questions
Is Sigmaroc PLC (SRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.46 versus a price of £1.30, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SRC?
Our model-based fair value for Sigmaroc PLC is £1.46 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.30.
What is the quality score of SRC?
Sigmaroc PLC has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.46 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.7800, optimistic scenario £2.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sigmaroc PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.46, about +12% upside versus a price of £1.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.7800, optimistic scenario £2.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
Sigmaroc PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sigmaroc PLC pay a dividend?
Sigmaroc PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sigmaroc PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +17.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +52.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SRC use?
Our models discount Sigmaroc PLC at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.23, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sigmaroc PLC that is +17.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sigmaroc PLC (SRC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sigmaroc PLC grew +52.8 % a year. The price currently implies +17.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sigmaroc PLC (+17.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.93 %: that much free cash flow Sigmaroc PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sigmaroc PLC it is £1.46 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £1.30. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sigmaroc PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SRC trades below its calculated fair value: price £1.30, fair value £1.46, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.46). For Sigmaroc PLC the two are £0.1600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sigmaroc PLC worth?
The market values Sigmaroc PLC at about 1.5B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £1.30; our models calculate a fair value of £1.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SRC?
Our models span a range for Sigmaroc PLC: cautious scenario £0.7800, base £1.46, optimistic £2.53 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £1.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SRC?
Sigmaroc PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 11.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sigmaroc PLC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.64 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Sigmaroc PLC?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Vulcan Materials Company, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sigmaroc PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £1.30, calculated fair value £1.46 (+12%), Quality Score 42/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SRC calculated?
We run Sigmaroc PLC through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £1.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sigmaroc PLC currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £1.30. Our model-based fair value is £1.46, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sigmaroc PLC right now?
The model range is unusually wide (£0.7800 to £2.53). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Sigmaroc PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
The market capitalisation of Sigmaroc PLC is 1.5B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sigmaroc PLC is 1.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
Earnings per share at Sigmaroc PLC are £0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
The dividend yield of Sigmaroc PLC is 0.2% (payout 4.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
The net margin of Sigmaroc PLC is 7.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sigmaroc PLC is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sigmaroc PLC is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
The operating margin of Sigmaroc PLC is 15.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
Revenue at Sigmaroc PLC is growing +13.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sigmaroc PLC (SRC)?
Earnings per share at Sigmaroc PLC are growing +653% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sigmaroc PLC (SRC) carry?
The net debt of Sigmaroc PLC is 472M GBX (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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