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SigmaRoc plc (SRC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 1.3B GBX

SP SigmaRoc plc SRC · LSE
Price£1.23
Fair Value£1.22
Upside-1.0%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range £0.5900 – £1.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +13.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (£0.5900 to £1.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.37 £0.3413 Fair Value £1.22 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.3413 – £1.37 · fair‑value band £0.5900 – £1.53 · the £1.23 price screens above the £1.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

SigmaRoc plc (SRC) currently trades at £1.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SigmaRoc plc generated revenue of £1.0B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at £472M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.5900 (bear case) to £1.53 (bull case); at £1.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -1%, SRC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.5400 £1.18 £2.17 80
Residual Income £0.6100 £0.6500 £0.7600 76
Rev-Margin DCF £0.8100 £1.75 £3.72 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.6000 £1.03 £2.31 38
Owner Earnings £0.4800 £1.35 £2.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit £0.7000 £1.49 £3.15 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £1.09 £2.27 £4.61 41
5Y P/E Exit £0.6100 £1.71 £3.20 38
10Y Revenue Exit £0.6300 £1.85 £2.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £0.9300 £2.61 £5.59 37
10Y P/E Exit £0.6100 £1.67 £3.39 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.4900 £3.41 £4.79 54
Lynch FV £1.76 £2.52 £3.28 50
PEG = 1.0 £1.76 £2.52 £3.28 46
EPV £0.6600 £0.8000 £0.9100 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.0200 £0.0400 £0.0500 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.0200 £0.0400 £0.0400 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.9200 £1.22 £1.53 63
P/S Multiple £0.9200 £1.22 £1.53 58
P/B Multiple £0.9200 £1.22 £1.53 55
EV/EBIT £1.12 £1.60 £2.08 53
EV/EBITDA £1.29 £1.83 £2.36 54
EV/Revenue £0.6500 £1.08 £1.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.3700 £0.5000 £0.7400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.5400 £1.18 £2.17 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.8100 £1.75 £3.72 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.6100 £0.6500 £0.7600 76
ROIC Compounder £0.6600 £0.8800 £1.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £2.17 £3.10 £4.03 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£3.10) versus Dividend Discount (£0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.0B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 10.6%
Free cash flow 75.7M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 17.4
More key figures
Operating margin 15.0%
EPS (TTM) £0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) +653%
Net debt 472M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SigmaRoc plc, through its subsidiaries, invests, acquires, and integrates businesses in the quarried materials sector in the United Kingdom, Ireland, western Europe, Central Europe, and Nordics.

Full company description

SigmaRoc plc, through its subsidiaries, invests, acquires, and integrates businesses in the quarried materials sector in the United Kingdom, Ireland, western Europe, Central Europe, and Nordics. It also produces aggregates, stone, granite, concrete blocks and precast elements, asphalts, ready-mix concrete, precast concrete, and other stone products; supplies value-added industrial and construction materials; and provides shipping logistics, road contracting, waste recycling, and patent and licensing services, as well as engages in the limestone quarrying and processing activities. In addition, the company offers crushing stone, retaining wall system, railway operation, information technology, and CO2 management services. The company was formerly known as Messaging International Plc and changed its name to SigmaRoc plc in August 2016. SigmaRoc plc is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SigmaRoc plc reported revenue of £1.0B in FY2025 versus £272M in FY2021, a compound +39.7%/yr. Reported net income was £79.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£1.0B
Latest YoY
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+52.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+53.7%
Revenue +39.7%/yr
FY21 £272M
FY22 £538M
FY23 £542M
FY24 £963M
FY25 £1.0B
Net income
FY21 −£7.6M
FY22 £31.2M
FY23 £13.5M
FY24 £23.3M
FY25 £79.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SigmaRoc plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SRC

Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.64× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 32 · sector 28
FUTURE 67 · sector 2
PAST 42 · sector 15
HEALTH 68 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SigmaRoc plc (SRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.22 versus a price of £1.23, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SRC?
Our model-based fair value for SigmaRoc plc is £1.22 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.23.
What is the quality score of SRC?
SigmaRoc plc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SigmaRoc plc (SRC)?
SigmaRoc plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SRC?
The net profit margin of SigmaRoc plc is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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