Stoneridge, Inc (SRI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $204M

Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• A fairly wide model range ($2.58 to $6.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.61 – $34.08 · fair‑value band $2.58 – $6.37 · the $7.46 price screens above the $4.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Stoneridge, Inc (SRI) currently trades at $7.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.27, implying the stock looks roughly 42.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Stoneridge, Inc generated revenue of $873M at a net margin of -14.2%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -53.6%. Net debt stands at $124M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.58 (bear case) to $6.37 (bull case); at $7.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -43%, SRI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($4.27) versus Growth DCF ($0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Stoneridge, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells engineered electrical and electronic systems, components, and modules for the commercial, automotive, off-highway, and agricultural vehicle markets in North America, South America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.

Full company description

Stoneridge, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells engineered electrical and electronic systems, components, and modules for the commercial, automotive, off-highway, and agricultural vehicle markets in North America, South America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Electronics and Stoneridge Brazil. The Electronics segment offers advanced driver information solutions, vision systems, connectivity and compliance solutions, and control modules for commercial vehicle and off-highway markets through OEM and aftermarket channels. The Stoneridge Brazil segment provides vehicle tracking devices and monitoring services, driver information systems, vehicle security alarms and convenience accessories, and telematics solutions and multimedia devices primarily for the automotive and commercial vehicle markets through aftermarket distribution channel, direct to OEMs, and factory authorized dealer installers. It sells monitoring services and tracking devices directly to corporate and individual customers. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Novi, Michigan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Stoneridge, Inc reported revenue of $861M in FY2025 versus $770M in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$103M in FY2025.

SRI screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.