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Sears Canada Inc (SRSCQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.2K

SC Sears Canada Inc logo Sears Canada Inc SRSCQ · US
Price$0.0001
Fair Value$0.0001
Upside+0.0%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -15.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0001 – $0.0001 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.0100 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.0100 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sears Canada Inc (SRSCQ) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sears Canada Inc generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of -15.9%. Revenue declined 15.2% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $94.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at 0%, SRSCQ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.2%
Net margin -15.9%
Return on equity -147%
Free cash flow −$369M FY2017
Operating margin -27.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1900
Net cash $94.1M FY2017

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sears Canada Inc. operates as a multi-format retailer in Canada. The company operates department stores that offer various merchandise, including women's, men's, and children's apparel, as well as nursery products, cosmetics, jewelry, footwear, and accessories; and home furnishings and mattresses, home décor, lawn and garden, hardware, leisure, seasonal …

Full company description

Sears Canada Inc. operates as a multi-format retailer in Canada. The company operates department stores that offer various merchandise, including women's, men's, and children's apparel, as well as nursery products, cosmetics, jewelry, footwear, and accessories; and home furnishings and mattresses, home décor, lawn and garden, hardware, leisure, seasonal products, toys, floorcare, sewing, and various appliances. It also operates home stores, which provide furniture, mattresses and box-springs, and various appliances; hometown stores that offer various appliances, furniture, mattresses and box-springs, and outdoor power equipment; outlet stores, which provide clearance merchandise and surplus big-ticket items; and appliance specialty stores. In addition, the company offers a range of home services, such as carpet and duct cleaning, installation and assembly of heating and cooling equipment, custom window coverings, windows and doors, and other products purchased at its stores. Further, it provides logistics, product repair, travel, home improvement, insurance, and licensing services, as well as wireless and long distance plans. Additionally, the company operates optical centers and portrait studios; and catalogue and Internet channels. It has a network of full-line department stores; specialty stores comprising Sears Home stores, outlet stores, Hometown stores, and Corbeil stores; Sears Travel offices; and merchandise pick-up locations for orders placed through the catalogue or online at sears.ca. The company was formerly known as Simpsons-Sears Limited and changed its name to Sears Canada Inc. in May 1984. Sears Canada Inc. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2013 – FY2017 · reported fiscal years

Sears Canada Inc reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2017 versus $4.3B in FY2013, a compound −11.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$321M in FY2017.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2017)
$2.6B
Latest YoY
−16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Revenue −11.9%/yr
FY13 $4.3B
FY14 $4.0B
FY15 $3.4B
FY16 $3.1B
FY17 $2.6B
Net income
FY13 $101M
FY14 $447M
FY15 −$339M
FY16 −$67.9M
FY17 −$321M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sears Canada Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SRSCQ

Peer Group

Department Stores · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +0% · Above median
Return on assets -17% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -27% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 5,875 CLP 8,880 CLP +51%
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 99.62 MXN 263.70 MXN +165%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.70 MYR 1.45 MYR -61%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 2,040 CLP 2,516 CLP +23%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹113.94 ₹37.39 -67%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 610,000 KRW 200,259 KRW -67%
Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB 30.04 MXN 59.59 MXN +98%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 155,300 KRW 81,725 KRW -47%
Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 R$14.10 R$33.36 +137%
La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC 34.37 MXN 51.49 MXN +50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sears Canada Inc (SRSCQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0001 versus a price of $0.0001, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SRSCQ?
Our model-based fair value for Sears Canada Inc is $0.0001 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0001.
What is the quality score of SRSCQ?
Sears Canada Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sears Canada Inc (SRSCQ)?
Sears Canada Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SRSCQ?
The net profit margin of Sears Canada Inc is about -15.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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