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Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Satcom Systems Ltd ILS 2.61, price ILS 2.03, upside +28.6%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · Il · ISIN IL0010805971

SS Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Satcom Systems Ltd

STCM · TA

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

Fair value 2.61 ILA · Undervalued (+28.6%)
Quality 49/100
Loss over the last twelve months · -3.5% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2018 10.0%
Moderate debt
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.5 %/yr in ILA)
Narrow moat 24/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

2.83 ILA 0.2430 ILA Fair Value 2.61 ILA May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.2430 ILA – 2.83 ILA · fair‑value band 1.96 ILA – 3.26 ILA · the 2.03 ILA price screens below the 2.61 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Satcom Systems Ltd. provides communication services through satellite and fiber-optic infrastructures, and radio systems in Israel and internationally.

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Satcom Systems Ltd. provides communication services through satellite and fiber-optic infrastructures, and radio systems in Israel and internationally. Its services include data communication services, such as connection and infrastructure services for the Internet network, services for the establishment and operation of internal corporate data communication networks, and management of the communication infrastructure of Internet providers and cellular operators; and consulting and characterization of networks and communication solutions on the fiber and satellite infrastructure, including the sale of equipment, installation, routine maintenance, and operation. The company's services also include mobile satellite communication services comprising consulting and planning, supply of equipment, project management, construction, operation, data communication and telephony services, and related services. It also offers broadband connectivity and communications solutions. The company's customers for data communication services include cellular companies, communications providers, integrators in the field of telecom, government organizations, non-profit organizations, businesses, and other organizations. It also serves Internet service providers, institutions, community organizations, armies, and security organizations. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Petach Tikva, Israel.

Stock analysis

Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM) currently trades at 2.03 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.61 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 3.51 ILA per share, and 13 of the 19 models we run sit above the 2.03 ILA price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.2900 ILA, and 6 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.96 ILA (bear) to 3.26 ILA (bull), the price of 2.03 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Satcom Systems Ltd reported revenue of 47.1M ILA in FY2018 versus 47.6M ILA in FY2014, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 4.7M ILA in FY2018.

Key figures

Market cap 3.0B ILA · P/S ratio 59.3 · EPS (TTM) −0.0310 ILA · Net margin 10.0% · Return on equity −11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin 4.8% · Revenue (TTM) 51.3M ILA.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 154% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 29%, STCM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.96 ILA Fair Value 2.61 ILA Bull 3.26 ILA
Price 2.03 ILA · Upside +28.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 2.91 ILA 3.81 ILA 5.39 ILA 81
Growth DCF 3.00 ILA 3.86 ILA 5.25 ILA 79
Owner Earnings 3.97 ILA 5.18 ILA 7.29 ILA 77
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.91 ILA 3.81 ILA 5.39 ILA 81
Owner Earnings 3.97 ILA 5.18 ILA 7.29 ILA 77
5Y Revenue Exit 2.42 ILA 3.43 ILA 4.92 ILA 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.77 ILA 4.02 ILA 5.71 ILA 75
5Y P/E Exit 2.08 ILA 2.84 ILA 3.78 ILA 71
10Y Revenue Exit 2.56 ILA 3.34 ILA 4.16 ILA 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.81 ILA 3.68 ILA 4.61 ILA 69
10Y P/E Exit 2.43 ILA 2.99 ILA 3.53 ILA 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.8100 ILA 1.13 ILA 1.32 ILA 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.96 ILA 2.61 ILA 3.26 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 1.51 ILA 2.02 ILA 2.52 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 1.12 ILA 1.49 ILA 1.86 ILA 55
EV/EBITDA 3.14 ILA 4.26 ILA 5.38 ILA 67
EV/Revenue 2.25 ILA 3.31 ILA 4.38 ILA 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2100 ILA 0.2900 ILA 0.4300 ILA 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.00 ILA 3.86 ILA 5.25 ILA 79
Rev-Margin DCF 2.42 ILA 3.51 ILA 4.89 ILA 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.5900 ILA 0.7000 ILA 0.9500 ILA 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.38 ILA 1.97 ILA 2.56 ILA 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.5% (2013) → −8.0% (2018)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Telecommunications Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Communication Services · 1121 stocks

Beats the sector median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +28.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 1.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −3.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.72× · Highest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $228.38 $198.56 −13%
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $512.90 $564.19 +10%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $459.20 $505.12 +10%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $351.19 $303.10 −14%
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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $611.76 $122.60 −80%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Satcom Systems Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STCM.TA

Frequently asked questions

Is Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.61 ILA versus a price of 2.03 ILA, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STCM?
Our model-based fair value for Satcom Systems Ltd is 2.61 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.03 ILA.
What is the quality score of STCM?
Satcom Systems Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.61 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.96 ILA, optimistic scenario 3.26 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Satcom Systems Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.61 ILA, about +29% upside versus a price of 2.03 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.96 ILA, optimistic scenario 3.26 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
Satcom Systems Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 51.3M ILS (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Satcom Systems Ltd it is 2.61 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 2.03 ILA. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Satcom Systems Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, STCM trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.03 ILA, fair value 2.61 ILA, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STCM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.03 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.61 ILA). For Satcom Systems Ltd the two are 0.5800 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Satcom Systems Ltd worth?
The market values Satcom Systems Ltd at about 3.0B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 2.03 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 2.61 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STCM?
Our models span a range for Satcom Systems Ltd: cautious scenario 1.96 ILA, base 2.61 ILA, optimistic 3.26 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 2.03 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Satcom Systems Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −11.3%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STCM from its 52-week high?
Satcom Systems Ltd trades at 2.03 ILA, about 28% below its 52-week high of 2.83 ILA and 154% above the low of 0.8000 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.61 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Satcom Systems Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value MTEL, GLO, CNVRG, NVIDIA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Satcom Systems Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 2.03 ILA, calculated fair value 2.61 ILA (+29%), Quality Score 49/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STCM calculated?
We run Satcom Systems Ltd through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.61 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Satcom Systems Ltd currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 2.03 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 2.61 ILA, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Satcom Systems Ltd right now?
Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Satcom Systems Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
The market capitalisation of Satcom Systems Ltd is 3.0B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Satcom Systems Ltd is 59.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
Earnings per share at Satcom Systems Ltd are −0.0310 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
The net margin of Satcom Systems Ltd is 10.0% (fiscal year 2018). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Satcom Systems Ltd is −11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Satcom Systems Ltd is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
The operating margin of Satcom Systems Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Satcom Systems Ltd (STCM)?
Revenue at Satcom Systems Ltd is growing −15.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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