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Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd (STCPF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $384M

SC Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd logo Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd STCPF · US
Price$1.50
Fair Value$3.30
Upside+120.0%
Quality52/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 62.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $2.48 – $5.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $3.36 to $3.30 (−1.8%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 120% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.48). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($2.48 to $5.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$1.50 $1.09 Fair Value $3.30 Jun 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range $1.09 – $1.50 · fair‑value band $2.48 – $5.20 · the $1.50 price screens below the $3.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd (STCPF) currently trades at $1.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.30, implying the stock looks roughly 120.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd generated revenue of $392M at a net margin of 62.3%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.48 (bear case) to $5.20 (bull case); at $1.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 120%, STCPF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.84 $9.94 80
Residual Income $9.12 $10.05 $13.67 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.58 $7.83 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.21 $11.09 38
5Y Revenue Exit $2.83 $8.88 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.27 $10.87 $21.19 41
10Y Revenue Exit $2.54 $8.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.9500 $7.75 $17.28 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $7.55 $10.07 $12.59 58
P/B Multiple $14.93 $19.90 $24.88 55
EV/EBIT $10.31 $17.05 $23.79 53
EV/EBITDA $5.80 $11.03 $16.27 54
EV/Revenue $0.9300 $4.18 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.40 $7.24 $10.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.84 $9.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.58 $7.83 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.12 $10.05 $13.67 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($11.03) versus Growth DCF ($2.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $392M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.1%
Net margin 62.3%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow $241M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.3
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.1800
EPS growth (YoY) -71.4%
Net debt $3.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 27
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd., a real estate investment trust, is engaged in the acquisition, management, holding, and rental of yielding real estate properties in Israel.

Full company description

Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd., a real estate investment trust, is engaged in the acquisition, management, holding, and rental of yielding real estate properties in Israel. The company operates office buildings, shopping centers, industrial buildings, and residential apartments for professionals, commercial companies, high- tech companies, and government institutions. As of December 31, 2013, it had a total rentable area of 116,880 square meters and 70,000 square meters of parking areas. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Ramat Gan, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd reported revenue of $397M in FY2025 versus $261M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was $300M in FY2025, compounding −4.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$397M
Latest YoY
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 $261M
FY22 $315M
FY23 $354M
FY24 $371M
FY25 $397M
Net income −4.2%/yr
FY21 $357M
FY22 $266M
FY23 $180M
FY24 $213M
FY25 $300M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STCPF

Peer Group

REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +120% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 62% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.99× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 13
FUTURE 16 · sector 13
PAST 38 · sector 20
HEALTH 50 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 97

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$29.11 A$7.37 -75%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $26.73 $41.74 +56%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $76.69 $35.59 -54%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.90 A$11.46 -48%
Fibra Uno FUNO11 31.10 MXN 63.56 MXN +104%
COV COV €52.55 €62.39 +19%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.89 A$3.49 -29%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.70 A$0.5700 -66%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.85 MYR 6.91 MYR -22%
CRRUN CRRUN C$17.65 C$17.89 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd (STCPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.30 versus a price of $1.50, about +120% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STCPF?
Our model-based fair value for Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd is $3.30 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.50.
What is the quality score of STCPF?
Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd (STCPF)?
Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $392M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STCPF?
The net profit margin of Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd is about 62.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 62.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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