STMicroelectronics NV (STM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of STMicroelectronics NV $4.82, price $46.60, upside -89.7%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.51 – $79.68 · fair‑value band $3.18 – $6.02 · the $46.60 price screens above the $4.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 16, 2026.
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STMicroelectronics N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific.
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The company operates through Analog products, MEMS and Sensors Group (AM&S); Power and Discrete products (P&D); Embedded Processing ("EMP"); and RF Products (D&RF) segments.
It offers industrial application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and application-specific standard products (ASSPs); power management solutions; custom analog ICs, wireless charging solutions; galvanic isolated gate and LED drivers; converters, transistors, intelligent power switches, clocks and timers, comparators, and current-sense amplifiers; micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) sensors, including accelerometers, gyroscopes, magnetic sensors, pressure, temperature, presence detection, biosensors, machine learning, and edge AI processing smart sensors, as well as thermal and piezoelectric actuators; and optical sensing solutions.
The company also provides silicon MOSFETs, SiC MOSFETs, IGBTs, thyristors, rectifiers, and power modules and bipolar transistors; microcontrollers, and automotive microcontrollers and secured; radio frequency (RF) communications and ASICs; car infotainment products; ultra-wide band and radar systems; and Connected Security Products; and automotive driver assistance systems.
It serves automotive, industrial, personal electronics and communications equipment, and computers and peripherals markets. STMicroelectronics N.V. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Schiphol, the Netherlands.
Stock analysis
STMicroelectronics NV ADR (STM) currently trades at $46.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.82, 89.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $13.39 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the $46.60 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.42, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $3.18 (bear) to $6.02 (bull), the price of $46.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
STMicroelectronics NV ADR reported revenue of $11.8B in FY2025 versus $12.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was $167M in FY2025, compounding −46.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $43.2B · P/E ratio 499.4 · P/S ratio 7.03 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0600 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 122% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −90%, STM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($2.42 to $119.91). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear$3.18Fair Value $4.82Bull$6.02
Price $46.60 · Upside -89.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.5% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−14.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−31.6% vs 1.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 3%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: The company's push into high-volume silicon photonics for AI data centers represents its primary strength, yet persistently low profitability and negative free cash flow continue to highlight its main weakness.
Main risk: Manufacturing footprint adjustments risk extending margin pressure during the silicon photonics capacity expansion.
STMicroelectronics is scaling its silicon photonics platform into high-volume production to capture surging demand for optical interconnects in AI data centers, with plans to quadruple capacity by 2027. At the same time its manufacturing footprint adjustments continue to pressure near-term margins even as demand outstrips supply in several lines. Will the optics-driven AI push deliver faster margin recovery than the cost of the transition?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 352 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−79.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.7% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)3.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)499.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.19× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 94
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)15· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is STMicroelectronics NV (STM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.82 versus a price of $46.60, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STM?
Our model-based fair value for STMicroelectronics NV ADR is $4.82 (as of Oct 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $46.60.
What is the quality score of STM?
STMicroelectronics NV ADR has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.82 (as of Oct 16, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.18, optimistic scenario $6.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the STMicroelectronics NV ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.82, about −90% upside versus a price of $46.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.18, optimistic scenario $6.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
STMicroelectronics NV ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 16, 2026).
Does STMicroelectronics NV ADR pay a dividend?
STMicroelectronics NV ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.77% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 16, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For STMicroelectronics NV ADR it is $4.82 per share (as of Oct 16, 2026), against a price of $46.60. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is STMicroelectronics NV ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 16, 2026, STM trades above its calculated fair value: price $46.60, fair value $4.82, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($46.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.82). For STMicroelectronics NV ADR the two are $41.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is STMicroelectronics NV ADR worth?
The market values STMicroelectronics NV ADR at about $43.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 16, 2026). Per share that is $46.60; our models calculate a fair value of $4.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STM?
Our models span a range for STMicroelectronics NV ADR: cautious scenario $3.18, base $4.82, optimistic $6.02 per share (as of Oct 16, 2026, price $46.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STM?
STMicroelectronics NV ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 499.4 (as of Oct 16, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.82 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 87.9 (reported for FY2025: 279.9). Other multiples: PEG 0.2.
What is the PEG ratio of STM?
The PEG ratio of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is 0.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 16, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
Balance-sheet figures for STMicroelectronics NV ADR (as of Oct 16, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STM from its 52-week high?
STMicroelectronics NV ADR trades at $46.60, about 42% below its 52-week high of $79.68 and 122% above the low of $21.01 (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to STMicroelectronics NV ADR?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is STMicroelectronics NV ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 16, 2026: price $46.60, calculated fair value $4.82 (−90%), Quality Score 44/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STM calculated?
We run STMicroelectronics NV ADR through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. STMicroelectronics NV ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was $46.60. Our model-based fair value is $4.82, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with STMicroelectronics NV ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($3.18 to $6.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of STMicroelectronics NV ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
The market capitalisation of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is $43.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is 7.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
Earnings per share at STMicroelectronics NV ADR are $−0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 499.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
The dividend yield of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is 0.8% (payout 60.6%, on adjusted earnings, reported 193%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
The net margin of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
The operating margin of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
Revenue at STMicroelectronics NV ADR is growing +26.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at STMicroelectronics NV (STM)?
Earnings per share at STMicroelectronics NV ADR are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does STMicroelectronics NV (STM) generate?
The free cash flow of STMicroelectronics NV ADR is −$52.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does STMicroelectronics NV (STM) hold?
STMicroelectronics NV ADR holds more cash than debt, $704M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Oct 16, 2026