Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Strattec Security Corporation $70.47, price $66.98, upside +5.2%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.36 – $90.91 · fair‑value band $52.85 – $88.08 · the $66.98 price screens below the $70.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Strattec Security Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets automotive security, access control, and user interface controls products in North America and internationally.
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Strattec Security Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets automotive security, access control, and user interface controls products in North America and internationally. The company offers mechanical and electronically enhanced locks and keys, fobs, passive entry passive start systems, digital key, phone as a key systems, steering column and instrument panel ignition lock housings, latches, power sliding door systems, power tailgate and lift gate systems, power deck lid systems, door handles, steering wheel switches and controller, E-shifters, paddle switches, and related products. It also provides service and aftermarket support services for its products. It markets its products to automotive and light truck original equipment manufacturers, as well as other transportation-related manufacturers; and through wholesale distributors, other marketers, and users of component parts, as well as certain products to non-automotive customers. Strattec Security Corporation was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Stock analysis
Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) currently trades at $66.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $70.47, implying the stock looks roughly 5.0% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $156.03 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the $66.98 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $25.00, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $52.85 (bear) to $88.08 (bull), the price of $66.98 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Strattec Security Corporation reported revenue of $565M in FY2025 versus $485M in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $18.7M in FY2025, compounding −4.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $331M · P/E ratio 11.1 · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) $6.05 · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% · Operating margin 3.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 5%, STRT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $52.85Fair Value $70.47Bull $88.08
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($6.05 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+2.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 4%
2025 sits 56% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−17.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −19.2% a year for the price.
Compare Strattec Security Corporation with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 695 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $70.47 versus a price of $66.98, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of STRT?
Our model-based fair value for Strattec Security Corporation is $70.47 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $66.98.
What is the quality score of STRT?
Strattec Security Corporation has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $70.47 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $52.85, optimistic scenario $88.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Strattec Security Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $70.47, about +5% upside versus a price of $66.98 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $52.85, optimistic scenario $88.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Strattec Security Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $580M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Strattec Security Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -17.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of STRT use?
Our models discount Strattec Security Corporation at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Strattec Security Corporation that is -17.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Strattec Security Corporation grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies -17.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Strattec Security Corporation (-17.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.63 %: that much free cash flow Strattec Security Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Strattec Security Corporation it is $70.47 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $66.98. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Strattec Security Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, STRT trades below its calculated fair value: price $66.98, fair value $70.47, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STRT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($66.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($70.47). For Strattec Security Corporation the two are $3.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Strattec Security Corporation worth?
The market values Strattec Security Corporation at about $331M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $66.98; our models calculate a fair value of $70.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STRT?
Our models span a range for Strattec Security Corporation: cautious scenario $52.85, base $70.47, optimistic $88.08 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $66.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STRT?
Strattec Security Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $70.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 1.5, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
What is the PEG ratio of STRT?
The PEG ratio of Strattec Security Corporation is 1.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Strattec Security Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STRT from its 52-week high?
Strattec Security Corporation trades at $66.98, about 26% below its 52-week high of $90.91 and 9% above the low of $61.36 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $70.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Strattec Security Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Strattec Security Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $66.98, calculated fair value $70.47 (+5%), Quality Score 68/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STRT calculated?
We run Strattec Security Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $70.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Strattec Security Corporation currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $66.98. Our model-based fair value is $70.47, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Strattec Security Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) come from?
Earnings per share at Strattec Security Corporation grew +0.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.5 %, EBIT margin −6.2 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Strattec Security Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The market capitalisation of Strattec Security Corporation is $331M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Strattec Security Corporation is 0.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Earnings per share at Strattec Security Corporation are $6.05 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The net margin of Strattec Security Corporation is 3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Strattec Security Corporation is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Strattec Security Corporation is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The operating margin of Strattec Security Corporation is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Revenue at Strattec Security Corporation is growing −4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Earnings per share at Strattec Security Corporation are growing −40.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) hold?
Strattec Security Corporation holds more cash than debt, $73.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026