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Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $331M

SS Strattec Security Corporation logo Strattec Security Corporation STRT · US
Price$86.39
Fair Value$98.37
Upside+13.9%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range $73.78 – $122.96 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +13.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $73.78 (bear) to $122.96 (bull), base $98.37. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$90.91 $17.36 Fair Value $98.37 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.36 – $90.91 · fair‑value band $73.78 – $122.96 · the $86.39 price screens below the $98.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) currently trades at $86.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $98.37, implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Strattec Security Corporation generated revenue of $580M at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $73.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $73.78 (bear case) to $122.96 (bull case); at $86.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 14%, STRT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $161.63 $212.79 $275.48 80
Residual Income $41.75 $43.83 $47.05 76
Rev-Margin DCF $103.69 $135.35 $171.80 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $160.16 $218.14 $293.37 38
Owner Earnings $76.12 $99.75 $130.41 31
5Y Revenue Exit $103.69 $132.90 $167.59 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $118.17 $159.47 $205.35 41
5Y P/E Exit $114.46 $152.67 $190.94 38
10Y Revenue Exit $124.67 $154.80 $190.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $134.29 $171.48 $216.73 37
10Y P/E Exit $132.14 $167.21 $206.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $30.41 $86.04 $113.29 54
Lynch FV $17.50 $25.00 $32.49 50
PEG = 1.0 $17.50 $25.00 $32.49 46
EPV $51.00 $55.45 $59.17 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.35 $6.03 $8.30 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.35 $5.00 $6.44 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $73.78 $98.37 $122.96 63
P/S Multiple $57.01 $76.01 $95.02 58
P/B Multiple $57.01 $76.01 $95.02 55
EV/EBIT $91.93 $116.47 $141.00 53
EV/EBITDA $99.19 $126.15 $153.11 54
EV/Revenue $67.94 $89.21 $110.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $26.51 $35.53 $53.03 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $161.63 $212.79 $275.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF $103.69 $135.35 $171.80 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $41.75 $43.83 $47.05 76
ROIC Compounder $51.00 $56.42 $63.06 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $58.84 $84.06 $109.27 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($154.80) versus Dividend Discount ($5.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $580M
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.5%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 10.4%
Free cash flow $64.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.1
More key figures
Operating margin 3.4%
EPS (TTM) $6.05
EPS growth (YoY) -40.9%
Net cash $73.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Strattec Security Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets automotive security, access control, and user interface controls products in North America and internationally.

Full company description

Strattec Security Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets automotive security, access control, and user interface controls products in North America and internationally. The company offers mechanical and electronically enhanced locks and keys, fobs, passive entry passive start systems, digital key, phone as a key systems, steering column and instrument panel ignition lock housings, latches, power sliding door systems, power tailgate and lift gate systems, power deck lid systems, door handles, steering wheel switches and controller, E-shifters, paddle switches, and related products. It also provides service and aftermarket support services for its products. It markets its products to automotive and light truck original equipment manufacturers, as well as other transportation-related manufacturers; and through wholesale distributors, other marketers, and users of component parts, as well as certain products to non-automotive customers. Strattec Security Corporation was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Strattec Security Corporation reported revenue of $565M in FY2025 versus $485M in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $18.7M in FY2025, compounding −4.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$565M
Latest YoY
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 $485M
FY22 $452M
FY23 $493M
FY24 $538M
FY25 $565M
Net income −4.6%/yr
FY21 $22.5M
FY22 $7.0M
FY23 −$6.7M
FY24 $16.3M
FY25 $18.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.5 pp

of which total revenue +3.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.3 pp

EBIT margin −6.2 pp
Tax rate +1.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Strattec Security Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STRT

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.49× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.63× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 52 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 42 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

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Frequently asked questions

Is Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $98.37 versus a price of $86.39, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STRT?
Our model-based fair value for Strattec Security Corporation is $98.37 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $86.39.
What is the quality score of STRT?
Strattec Security Corporation has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Strattec Security Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $580M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STRT?
The net profit margin of Strattec Security Corporation is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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