Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Strattec Security Corporation stock $84.54, price $61.96, upside +36.4%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.36 – $90.91 · fair‑value band $63.41 – $105.68 · the $61.96 price screens below the $84.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Strattec Security Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets automotive security, access control, and user interface controls products in North America and internationally.
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The company offers mechanical and electronically enhanced locks and keys, fobs, passive entry passive start systems, digital key, phone as a key systems, steering column and instrument panel ignition lock housings, latches, power sliding door systems, power tailgate and lift gate systems, power deck lid systems, door handles, steering wheel switches and controller, E-shifters, paddle switches, and related products.
It also provides service and aftermarket support services for its products.
It markets its products to automotive and light truck original equipment manufacturers, as well as other transportation-related manufacturers; and through wholesale distributors, other marketers, and users of component parts, as well as certain products to non-automotive customers.
Strattec Security Corporation was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Stock analysis
Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) currently trades at $61.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.54, implying the stock looks roughly 27% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $126.50 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the $61.96 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $37.51, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $63.41 (bear) to $105.68 (bull), the price of $61.96 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Strattec Security Corporation reported revenue of $579M in FY2026 versus $452M in FY2022, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was $20.6M in FY2026, compounding +30.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $255M Micro · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) $4.13 · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 36%, STRT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$63.41Fair Value $84.54Bull$105.68
Price $61.96 · Upside +36.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.49 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$100.85$125.29$153.8982
Growth DCF$101.09$122.49$146.2280
Owner Earnings$81.33$99.45$120.6478
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$100.85$125.29$153.8982
Owner Earnings$81.33$99.45$120.6478
5Y Revenue Exit$91.30$120.29$155.8574
5Y EBITDA Exit$105.10$145.52$191.1676
5Y P/E Exit$100.98$137.98$175.4872
10Y Revenue Exit$93.73$117.75$147.5468
10Y EBITDA Exit$102.13$131.93$169.1570
10Y P/E Exit$99.99$127.70$159.5565
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$35.64$99.41$130.6865
Lynch FV$19.99$28.56$37.1361
PEG = 1.0$19.99$28.56$37.1357
EPV$51.35$54.23$56.5474
Multiples
P/E Multiple$86.47$115.29$144.1163
P/S Multiple$66.82$89.09$111.3658
P/B Multiple$27.46$36.61$45.7655
EV/EBIT$118.63$149.00$179.3766
EV/EBITDA$122.81$154.57$186.3267
EV/Revenue$88.94$115.26$141.5854
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$24.76$37.51$46.8954
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$101.09$122.49$146.2280
Rev-Margin DCF$91.30$121.43$155.4274
Economic Profit
Residual Income$45.54$46.83$50.6471
ROIC Compounder$51.35$54.23$56.5472
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$68.65$98.07$127.4967
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
BuyFrederic Jack Liebau JrDirector1,000 shares at $61.37$61,370May 12, 2026
BuyMatthew PauliSVP & CFO2,000 shares at $62.53$125,060May 12, 2026
SaleRichard P MessinaVP & Chief Technical Officer3,000 shares at $66.35$199,050Nov 17, 2025
Plus 15 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.7% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.5% vs 7.1%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.4%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.5% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+36.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)8.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)3.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)1.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−0.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $84.54 versus a price of $61.96, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STRT?
Our model-based fair value for Strattec Security Corporation is $84.54 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $61.96.
What is the quality score of STRT?
Strattec Security Corporation has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $84.54 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $63.41, optimistic scenario $105.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Strattec Security Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $84.54, about +36% upside versus a price of $61.96 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $63.41, optimistic scenario $105.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Strattec Security Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $579M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Strattec Security Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -8.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of STRT use?
Our models discount Strattec Security Corporation at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.23, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Strattec Security Corporation that is -8.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Strattec Security Corporation grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -8.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Strattec Security Corporation (-8.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.26 %: that much free cash flow Strattec Security Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Strattec Security Corporation it is $84.54 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $61.96. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Strattec Security Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, STRT trades below its calculated fair value: price $61.96, fair value $84.54, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STRT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($61.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($84.54). For Strattec Security Corporation the two are $22.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Strattec Security Corporation worth?
The market values Strattec Security Corporation at about $255M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $61.96; our models calculate a fair value of $84.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STRT?
Our models span a range for Strattec Security Corporation: cautious scenario $63.41, base $84.54, optimistic $105.68 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $61.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STRT?
Strattec Security Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $84.54 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 13.6. Other multiples: PEG 1.5, P/B 1.1, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
What is the PEG ratio of STRT?
The PEG ratio of Strattec Security Corporation is 1.47 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Strattec Security Corporation (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 8.5%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STRT from its 52-week high?
Strattec Security Corporation trades at $61.96, about 32% below its 52-week high of $90.91 and 3% above the low of $59.91 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $84.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Strattec Security Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Strattec Security Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $61.96, calculated fair value $84.54 (+36%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STRT calculated?
We run Strattec Security Corporation through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $84.54 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Strattec Security Corporation currently trades 27% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $61.96. Our model-based fair value is $84.54, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Strattec Security Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($63.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) come from?
Earnings per share at Strattec Security Corporation grew +3.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.2 %, EBIT margin −3.2 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Strattec Security Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The market capitalisation of Strattec Security Corporation is $255M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Strattec Security Corporation is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Earnings per share at Strattec Security Corporation are $4.13 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The net margin of Strattec Security Corporation is 3.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Strattec Security Corporation is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Strattec Security Corporation is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
The operating margin of Strattec Security Corporation is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Revenue at Strattec Security Corporation is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)?
Earnings per share at Strattec Security Corporation are growing −52.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) hold?
Strattec Security Corporation holds more cash than debt, $108M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Nov 4, 2026