Subex Limited (SUBEXLTD) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · IN · Market cap ₹6.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹7.33 to ₹8.74 (+19.2%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹10.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹6.68 – ₹72.50 · fair‑value band ₹6.56 – ₹10.93 · the ₹14.11 price screens above the ₹8.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Subex Limited (SUBEXLTD) currently trades at ₹14.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹8.74, implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Subex Limited generated revenue of ₹2.8B at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹724M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹6.56 (bear case) to ₹10.93 (bull case); at ₹14.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -38%, SUBEXLTD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹12.47) versus Earnings-Based (₹3.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Subex Limited provides operations and business support systems to communication service providers (CSPs) worldwide. The company offers fraud management solutions that address fraud across various services, including bypass, handset, international revenue share fraud, robocalling, and SMS fraud solutions, as well as scam and spam calls.
Full company description
Subex Limited provides operations and business support systems to communication service providers (CSPs) worldwide. The company offers fraud management solutions that address fraud across various services, including bypass, handset, international revenue share fraud, robocalling, and SMS fraud solutions, as well as scam and spam calls. It also provides a signaling risk intelligence solution, which detects and prevents various protocol attacks at the signaling layer in real-time; business assurance, an active risk intelligence solution that assures revenues for business models comprising margin, asset and inventory, digital partner, enterprise 5G, IoT, digital profile, migration, and direct carrier billing assurance; and enterprise billing solution that include subscription management, billing and revenue management, configure, price and quote, service delivery platform, multi-level channel management, and customer relationship management services. In addition, the company offers partner ecosystem management that consists of partner and contract lifecycle management, digital services and roaming billing, and wholesale billing and routing services; and enterprise asset management solutions comprising network analytics, network asset management, and data integrity management. Further, it provides managed and business consulting services. Subex Limited was founded in 1992 and is based in Bengaluru, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Subex Limited reported revenue of ₹2.8B in FY2026 versus ₹3.3B in FY2022, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹285M in FY2026, compounding +8.0%/yr from FY2022.
SUBEXLTD screens 38% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 723 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹922.00 | ₹556.85 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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