Sula Vineyards Limited (SULA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹13.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −0.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 57% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹79.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range ₹137.60 – ₹644.37 · fair‑value band ₹45.93 – ₹79.73 · the ₹149.13 price screens above the ₹63.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sula Vineyards Limited (SULA) currently trades at ₹149.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹63.79, implying the stock looks roughly 57.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sula Vineyards Limited generated revenue of ₹5.6B at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at ₹3.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹45.93 (bear case) to ₹79.73 (bull case); at ₹149.13, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -57%, SULA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹72.40) versus Earnings-Based (₹45.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sula Vineyards Limited manufactures, purchases, and sells wine and other alcoholic beverages in India and internationally. It offers white, red, rosé, and sparkling wines; and spirits under the RASA, The Source, Dindori, SULA CLASSICS, and York brands.
Full company description
Sula Vineyards Limited manufactures, purchases, and sells wine and other alcoholic beverages in India and internationally. It offers white, red, rosé, and sparkling wines; and spirits under the RASA, The Source, Dindori, SULA CLASSICS, and York brands. The company also owns and operates wine tourism venues, including vineyard resorts and tasting rooms, as well as restaurants. It sells its products through distributors, corporations, licensed resellers, company depots, defense units, and other points of sale, as well as direct-to-consumer and online channel. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Sula Vineyards Limited reported revenue of ₹5.6B in FY2026 versus ₹4.2B in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹257M in FY2026, compounding −16.3%/yr from FY2022.
SULA screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →
Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 97 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,343 | ¥1,238 | -8% |
| Diageo plc DEO | $93.96 | $73.29 | -22% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥75.28 | ¥48.44 | -36% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥122.32 | ¥185.80 | +52% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €67.96 | €76.13 | +12% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥91.09 | ¥149.17 | +64% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $28.40 | $27.69 | -3% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,515 | ₹381.12 | -75% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4700 SGD | 0.7000 SGD | +49% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥41.62 | ¥27.82 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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