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Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group (SUTNY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $26.6B

SM Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group logo Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group SUTNY · US
Price$5.34
Fair Value$4.81
Upside-9.9%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.79% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $3.61 – $6.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −34.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$8.35 $2.32 Fair Value $4.81 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.32 – $8.35 · fair‑value band $3.61 – $6.02 · the $5.34 price screens above the $4.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group (SUTNY) currently trades at $5.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.81, implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group generated revenue of $1.7T at a net margin of 19.0%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.3T. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.61 (bear case) to $6.02 (bull case); at $5.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -10%, SUTNY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $946.80 $1,262 $1,578 63
Residual Income $892.08 $982.20 $1,438 61
P/B Multiple $1,082 $1,443 $1,804 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $946.80 $1,262 $1,578 63
P/B Multiple $1,082 $1,443 $1,804 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $515.31 $690.51 $1,031 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $892.08 $982.20 $1,438 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1,262) versus Asset-Based ($690.51). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.7T
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.8%
Net margin 19.0%
Return on equity 9.5%
Free cash flow $754B FY2026
P/E ratio 13.7
More key figures
Operating margin 13.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.5600
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +64.0%
Net cash $3.3T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 95
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. operates as a trust bank in Japan and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management Business, Corporate Business, Investor Services Business, Real Estate Business, Global Markets Business, and Asset Management Business segments.

Full company description

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. operates as a trust bank in Japan and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management Business, Corporate Business, Investor Services Business, Real Estate Business, Global Markets Business, and Asset Management Business segments. The company offers services to individuals, corporate, investors, as well as to real estate business. It is also involved in marketing, market-making, investment, financial management, and asset management services operations. In addition, the company supervises management strategies, financial management, human resource management, corporate administrative management, operational process management, risk management, and compliance management; and manages internal auditing. Further, it provides financing, stock transfer agency operations, and consulting services; real estate brokerage; consulting services related to development, effective utilization, construction, and ESG considerations, as well as real estate custody functions; and foreign exchange, interest rates, and derivative products and services. The company was formerly known as Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. in October 2024. Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group reported revenue of $3.1T in FY2026 versus $1.3T in FY2022, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was $337B in FY2026, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$3.1T
Latest YoY
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+8.9%
Revenue +25.4%/yr
FY22 $1.3T
FY23 $1.7T
FY24 $2.3T
FY25 $2.8T
FY26 $3.1T
Net income +18.8%/yr
FY22 $169B
FY23 $191B
FY24 $79.2B
FY25 $258B
FY26 $337B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUTNY

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +44% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 3.05× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.7× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 92 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 38 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 56 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group (SUTNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.81 versus a price of $5.34, about −10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SUTNY?
Our model-based fair value for Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group is $4.81 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.34.
What is the quality score of SUTNY?
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group (SUTNY)?
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7T (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SUTNY?
The net profit margin of Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group is about 19.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group pay a dividend?
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.79% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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