Sveafastigheter AB (SVEAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SE · Market cap 6.0B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 27.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 5.41 to kr 27.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (22 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range kr 28.85 – kr 45.98 · fair‑value band kr 5.41 – kr 27.03 · the kr 32.10 price screens above the kr 27.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Sveafastigheter AB (SVEAF) currently trades at kr 32.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 27.03, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sveafastigheter AB generated revenue of 1.6B SEK at a net margin of 20.7%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at 12.5B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 5.41 (bear case) to kr 27.03 (bull case); at kr 32.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -16%, SVEAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 50.68) versus Multiples (kr 7.24). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sveafastigheter AB (publ), a real estate company, owns, builds, and manages residential properties in Sweden. It operates in Property Management and New Development segments. The company also develops and manages rental apartments and condominiums. In addition, it engages in the project development and building rights activities.
Full company description
Sveafastigheter AB (publ), a real estate company, owns, builds, and manages residential properties in Sweden. It operates in Property Management and New Development segments. The company also develops and manages rental apartments and condominiums. In addition, it engages in the project development and building rights activities. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Sveafastigheter AB (publ) is a subsidiary of SBB i Norden AB (publ).
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sveafastigheter AB reported revenue of kr 1.5B in FY2025 versus kr 124M in FY2021, a compound +87.4%/yr. Reported net income was kr 84.0M in FY2025, compounding −45.3%/yr from FY2021.
SVEAF screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 521 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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