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Data-driven stock valuation

Symbotic Inc (SYM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Symbotic Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $26.3B · ISIN US87151X1019

At a glance

SI Symbotic Inc logo Symbotic Inc SYM · US
Price$43.30
Fair Value$6.93
Upside−84.0% ⚠
Quality44/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 525% above our fair value of $6.93.

As of Aug 28, 2026, the fair value of Symbotic Inc is $6.93 per share against a price of $43.30, so the fair value sits 84% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +89.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.3% net margin
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $5.34 to $8.52

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +7.8% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$87.30 $8.81 Fair Value $6.93 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.81 – $87.30 · fair‑value band $5.34 – $8.52 · the $43.30 price screens above the $6.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Symbotic Inc (SYM) currently trades at $43.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.93, implying the stock looks roughly 525.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $25.69 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the $43.30 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $8.62, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Symbotic Inc generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of −0.3%. Revenue grew 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −5.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Scenario range: $5.34 (bear) to $8.52 (bull), the price of $43.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −84%, SYM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $23.65 $36.04 $75.52 71
Growth DCF $22.36 $42.38 $75.20 70
5Y Revenue Exit $11.68 $16.55 $26.57 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $23.65 $36.04 $75.52 71
5Y Revenue Exit $11.68 $16.55 $26.57 67
10Y Revenue Exit $15.11 $25.69 $30.83 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0200 $0.0400 $0.0600 64
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 64
Multiples
EV/Revenue $6.64 $8.62 $10.60 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1800 $0.2400 $0.3600 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $22.36 $42.38 $75.20 70
Rev-Margin DCF $12.55 $18.68 $31.67 66

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($25.69) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 11.4 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.0800
Net margin −0.8% FY2025
Return on equity −5.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −19.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.1% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $2.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.1% 3y avg +55.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $788M FY2025
Net cash $1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Symbotic Inc., an automation technology company, develops technologies to enhance operating efficiencies in modern warehouses. The company automates the processing of pallets, cases, and individual items in warehouses. Its systems enhance operations at the front end of the supply chain. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Symbotic Inc reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $252M in FY2021, a compound +72.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.2B
Latest YoY
+25.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+55.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+89.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+67.9%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−119.9% (2020) → −5.1% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +72.8%/yr
FY21 $252M
FY22 $593M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $1.8B
FY25 $2.2B
Net income
FY21 −$122M
FY22 −$79.0M
FY23 −$23.9M
FY24 −$13.5M
FY25 −$16.9M

SYM screens 525% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Symbotic Inc · Fair Value
$6.93 −525%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Symbotic Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SYM

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 799 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 10.47× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 33.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.88× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Symbotic Inc deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-12.0 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+89.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price16.74 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models11.5 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 21
PAST0 · sector 28
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €272.65 €139.77 −49%
Eaton Corporation ETN $410.85 $168.65 −59%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $962.59 $398.69 −59%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.12 $145.84 −46%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $152.82 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Symbotic Inc (SYM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.93 versus a price of $43.30, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SYM?
Our model-based fair value for Symbotic Inc is $6.93 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $43.30.
What is the quality score of SYM?
Symbotic Inc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Symbotic Inc (SYM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.93 (as of Aug 28, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.34, optimistic scenario $8.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Symbotic Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.93, about −84% upside versus a price of $43.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.34, optimistic scenario $8.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Symbotic Inc (SYM)?
Symbotic Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SYM?
The net profit margin of Symbotic Inc is about −0.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Symbotic Inc (SYM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Symbotic Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -12.0 % per year for ten years (discount rate 11.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +89.4 % per year. As of Aug 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SYM use?
Our models discount Symbotic Inc at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 2.04, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Symbotic Inc (SYM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Symbotic Inc it is $6.93 per share (as of Aug 28, 2026), against a price of $43.30. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Symbotic Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 28, 2026, SYM trades above its calculated fair value: price $43.30, fair value $6.93, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SYM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($43.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.93). For Symbotic Inc the two are $36.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Symbotic Inc worth?
The market values Symbotic Inc at about $26.3B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 28, 2026). Per share that is $43.30; our models calculate a fair value of $6.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SYM?
Our models span a range for Symbotic Inc: cautious scenario $5.34, base $6.93, optimistic $8.52 per share (as of Aug 28, 2026, price $43.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SYM?
The PEG ratio of Symbotic Inc is 2.88 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Symbotic Inc (SYM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Symbotic Inc (as of Aug 28, 2026): return on equity −5.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SYM from its 52-week high?
Symbotic Inc trades at $43.30, about 51% below its 52-week high of $87.88 and 59% above the low of $27.26 (as of Aug 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Symbotic Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Symbotic Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 28, 2026: price $43.30, calculated fair value $6.93 (−84%), Quality Score 44/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SYM calculated?
We run Symbotic Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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