Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $4.5B
Synaptics Incorporated
SYNA · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $3.80 to $20.25 (+432.8%) since Aug 7, 2026. Share price −12.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($31.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($8.89 to $31.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $42.92 – $292.85 · fair‑value band $8.89 – $31.59 · the $107.31 price screens above the $20.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA) currently trades at $107.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.25, implying the stock looks roughly 81.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Synaptics Incorporated generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -4.1%. Revenue grew 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. Net debt stands at $489M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.89 (bear case) to $31.59 (bull case); at $107.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -81%, SYNA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($28.15) versus Dividend Discount ($6.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Synaptics Incorporated develops, markets, and sells semiconductor products worldwide. The company provides touch, display, biometrics, voice, audio, processor, wireless, and multimedia products for mobile, personal computers, smart home, industrial, and automotive applications, as well as modular development kits, open software frameworks, and optimized …
Full company description
Synaptics Incorporated develops, markets, and sells semiconductor products worldwide. The company provides touch, display, biometrics, voice, audio, processor, wireless, and multimedia products for mobile, personal computers, smart home, industrial, and automotive applications, as well as modular development kits, open software frameworks, and optimized AI/ML toolchains. It also offers Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, Bluetooth Low Energy, Zigbee, Thread, Matter, global positioning system, global navigation satellite system, ultra-wideband and ultra-low energy solutions, human interface products, organic light-emitting diodes, multimedia SoCs, fax/modem/printer processors, video interface ICs, DisplayLink graphics, and display driver ICs (DDIC); Astra and Veros, an AI solution; and DisplayLink and DisplayPort to simplify connectivity to external displays. In addition, it provides Natural ID, a fingerprint ID product for notebook, personal computer peripherals, automobiles, and other applications, as well as integrated touch and display, local dimming, and driver sensing technologies. The company sells its products through direct sales, outside sales representatives, OEM distributors, and value-added resellers. Synaptics Incorporated was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Synaptics Incorporated reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound −5.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$47.8M in FY2025.
SYNA screens 81% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether BZH, ACA, SYNA, CRNX are Obtaining Fair Deals for their Shareholders
- $HAREHOLDER ALERT: The M&A Class Action Firm Continues To Investigate The Merger—ACA, SYNA, FSRL, and CBAN
- Synaptics (SYNA) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
- Synaptics (SYNA) Surpasses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 323 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $217.50 | $98.98 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €366.85 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €802.10 | €185.67 | -77% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €428.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$54.79 | C$11.71 | -79% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 4,015 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -61% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,024,000 KRW | 1,204,862 KRW | +18% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$515.00 | HK$274.86 | -47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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