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Analog Devices, Inc (ADI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $183B

AD Analog Devices, Inc logo Analog Devices, Inc ADI · US
Price$377.31
Fair Value$93.10
Upside-75.3%
Quality77/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 26.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.10% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range $68.62 – $116.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −0.5% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($116.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$445.48 $128.42 Fair Value $93.10 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $128.42 – $445.48 · fair‑value band $68.62 – $116.37 · the $377.31 price screens above the $93.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Analog Devices, Inc (ADI) currently trades at $377.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $93.10, implying the stock looks roughly 75.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Analog Devices, Inc generated revenue of $12.7B at a net margin of 26.0%. Revenue grew 37.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $6.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $68.62 (bear case) to $116.37 (bull case); at $377.31, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -75%, ADI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $95.88 $167.09 $282.78 80
Residual Income $56.42 $59.46 $62.69 76
Rev-Margin DCF $49.72 $81.14 $120.16 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $95.51 $169.89 $292.16 38
Owner Earnings $81.84 $146.73 $253.40 31
5Y Revenue Exit $49.72 $80.41 $119.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $83.83 $147.83 $225.06 41
5Y P/E Exit $66.33 $113.23 $164.22 38
10Y Revenue Exit $63.41 $96.69 $142.13 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $86.92 $144.94 $227.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $75.52 $120.18 $178.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $31.65 $125.62 $170.66 54
Lynch FV $31.12 $44.45 $57.79 50
PEG = 1.0 $31.12 $44.45 $57.79 46
EPV $37.05 $45.16 $52.25 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $36.28 $75.43 $119.65 70
DDM Multi-Stage $36.28 $63.60 $79.16 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $69.82 $93.10 $116.37 63
P/S Multiple $42.42 $56.56 $70.70 58
P/B Multiple $59.35 $79.13 $98.92 55
EV/EBIT $69.69 $96.78 $123.87 53
EV/EBITDA $87.12 $120.02 $152.93 54
EV/Revenue $28.00 $44.97 $61.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.71 $46.51 $69.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $95.88 $167.09 $282.78 80
Rev-Margin DCF $49.72 $81.14 $120.16 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $56.42 $59.46 $62.69 76
ROIC Compounder $37.05 $45.16 $52.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $53.45 $76.36 $99.27 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($120.18) versus Earnings-Based ($44.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $12.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +37.2%
Net margin 26.0%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow $4.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 63.7
More key figures
Operating margin 38.1%
EPS (TTM) $6.73
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +111%
Net debt $6.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Analog Devices, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, testing, and marketing of integrated circuits (ICs), software, and subsystems products in the United States, rest of North and South America, Europe, Japan, China, and rest of Asia.

Full company description

Analog Devices, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, testing, and marketing of integrated circuits (ICs), software, and subsystems products in the United States, rest of North and South America, Europe, Japan, China, and rest of Asia. It provides data converter products, which translate real-world analog signals into digital data, as well as translates digital data into analog signals; power management and reference products for power conversion, driver monitoring, sequencing, and energy management applications in the automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer markets; and power ICs that include performance, integration, and software design simulation tools for accurate power supply designs. The company also offers amplifiers to condition analog signals; and radio frequency and microwave ICs to support cellular infrastructure; and micro-electro-mechanical systems technology solutions, including accelerometers used to sense acceleration, gyroscopes for sense rotation, inertial measurement units to sense multiple degrees of freedom, and broadband switches for radio and instrument systems, as well as isolators. In addition, it provides digital signal processing and system products for numeric calculations. The company serves clients in the industrial, automotive, consumer, instrumentation, aerospace, defense and healthcare, and communications markets through a direct sales force, third-party distributors, and independent sales representatives, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Analog Devices, Inc reported revenue of $11.0B in FY2025 versus $7.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.3B in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.0B
Latest YoY
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+9.2%
Revenue +10.8%/yr
FY21 $7.3B
FY22 $12.0B
FY23 $12.3B
FY24 $9.4B
FY25 $11.0B
Net income +13.0%/yr
FY21 $1.4B
FY22 $2.7B
FY23 $3.3B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $2.3B

ADI screens 75% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Analog Devices, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADI

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 37% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 14.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 60
PAST 39 · sector 24
HEALTH 88 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $398.37 $207.49 -48%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €323.25 €121.25 -62%
Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC C$52.57 C$7.50 -86%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €464.70 €56.33 -88%
Intel Corporation INTC C$68.40 C$9.82 -86%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $311.46 $59.75 -81%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%
SK Square Co 402340 1,212,000 KRW 868,000 KRW -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Analog Devices, Inc (ADI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $93.10 versus a price of $377.31, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADI?
Our model-based fair value for Analog Devices, Inc is $93.10 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $377.31.
What is the quality score of ADI?
Analog Devices, Inc has a Quality Score of 77/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Analog Devices, Inc (ADI)?
Analog Devices, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADI?
The net profit margin of Analog Devices, Inc is about 26.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Analog Devices, Inc pay a dividend?
Analog Devices, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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