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SYZ.TO (SYZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SYZ.TO C$0.88, price C$2.85, upside -69.1%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · CA · ISIN CA87132P1027

ST SYZ.TO logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

SYZ.TO

SYZ · TO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.8800 · Strongly overvalued (−69%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +10.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·1.40% dividend yield
!Trails peers (2/13)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$12.80 C$2.80 Fair Value C$0.8800 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$2.80 – C$12.80 · fair‑value band C$0.4400 – C$1.49 · the C$2.85 price screens above the C$0.8800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Sylogist Ltd., a software company, provides mission-critical software-as-a-service solutions to public sector customers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

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Sylogist Ltd., a software company, provides mission-critical software-as-a-service solutions to public sector customers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers SylogistMission platform, including CRM system, donor management; online fundraising; and volunteer, event, program, and campaign management, as well as ERP system, such as fund accounting; core financial tools; human resource and personal management; and automation, analytical, and reporting. It also provides SylogistEd platform comprising accounts payable and purchase requisition, payroll, personnel and employee portal, personnel and employee portal, employee document management, treasurer, time management, warehouse, fixed assets, and activity funds; and student information system, which includes student information, gradebook, lunchroom, guardian and student portals, student records portals, document management, and payment processing. In addition, the company offers SylogistGov, a cloud-based solution, such as SylogistGov ERP, a cloud ERP for local government, built on dynamics 365 business central needs; and SylogistGov VSS, a comprehensive state victim notification and case management solutions. Further, it provides FuelPay, a payment processing solution; the Portal Connector, which provides data management tools; SylogistService, such as data and intelligence solutions, consulting and project management, association management solutions, healthcare solutions, and software development IT services; and time and talent suite for payroll management. The company serves government, nonprofit, and education industries. Sylogist Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

SYZ.TO (SYZ) currently trades at C$2.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.8800, implying the stock looks roughly 223.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of C$0.8900 per share, and 4 of the 11 models we run sit above the C$2.85 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at C$0.2400, and 7 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: C$0.4400 (bear) to C$1.49 (bull), the price of C$2.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

SYZ.TO reported revenue of C$62.2M in FY2025 versus C$38.7M in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was −C$4.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$82.3M (≈ $58.2M) · P/S ratio 1.36 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.3200 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin −7.5% · Return on equity −23.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% · Operating margin −9.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −69%, SYZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.4400 Fair Value C$0.8800 Bull C$1.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF C$0.3500 C$0.7200 C$1.19 78
Owner Earnings C$2.51 C$3.83 C$5.56 76
Growth DCF C$0.3500 C$0.6800 C$1.10 76
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$0.3500 C$0.7200 C$1.19 78
Owner Earnings C$2.51 C$3.83 C$5.56 76
5Y Revenue Exit C$0.1600 C$0.4500 C$0.8200 68
5Y EBITDA Exit C$2.27 C$4.52 C$7.23 73
10Y Revenue Exit C$0.2200 C$0.4900 C$0.8500 64
10Y EBITDA Exit C$1.40 C$2.94 C$5.14 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA C$4.24 C$5.80 C$7.37 67
EV/Revenue C$0.0300 C$0.2400 C$0.4600 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.6700 C$0.8900 C$1.34 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$0.3500 C$0.6800 C$1.10 76
Rev-Margin DCF C$0.1600 C$0.4600 C$0.8200 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.6% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.8% (2020) → −6.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+40.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.1% a year for the price and +1.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−3.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.1%

SYZ screens 224% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 721 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.87× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 46.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 70.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)69 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)28 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €184.18 €172.46 −6%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $238.22 $342.73 +44%
Shopify Inc SHOP $145.16 $64.36 −56%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $137.78 $151.56 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.22 $103.69 +50%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $309.09 $225.14 −27%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $334.81 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $251.49 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $263.68 $177.51 −33%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SYZ.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SYZ

Frequently asked questions

Is SYZ.TO (SYZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.8800 versus a price of C$2.85, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SYZ?
Our model-based fair value for SYZ.TO is C$0.8800 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.85.
What is the quality score of SYZ?
SYZ.TO has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.8800 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.4400, optimistic scenario C$1.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SYZ.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.8800, about −69% upside versus a price of C$2.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.4400, optimistic scenario C$1.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
SYZ.TO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$60.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does SYZ.TO pay a dividend?
SYZ.TO currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SYZ.TO would have to grow free cash flow by +40.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SYZ use?
Our models discount SYZ.TO at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SYZ.TO that is +40.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SYZ.TO (SYZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SYZ.TO grew +10.3 % a year. The price currently implies +40.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SYZ.TO (SYZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SYZ.TO (+40.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.90 %: that much free cash flow SYZ.TO produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SYZ.TO it is C$0.8800 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$2.85. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SYZ.TO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SYZ trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.85, fair value C$0.8800, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SYZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.8800). For SYZ.TO the two are C$1.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SYZ.TO worth?
The market values SYZ.TO at about C$82.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$2.85; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.8800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SYZ?
Our models span a range for SYZ.TO: cautious scenario C$0.4400, base C$0.8800, optimistic C$1.49 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$2.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for SYZ.TO (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −23.7%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SYZ from its 52-week high?
SYZ.TO trades at C$2.85, about 60% below its 52-week high of C$7.12 and 2% above the low of C$2.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.8800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SYZ.TO?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SYZ.TO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$2.85, calculated fair value C$0.8800 (−69%), Quality Score 47/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SYZ calculated?
We run SYZ.TO through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.8800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SYZ.TO itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$2.85. Our model-based fair value is C$0.8800, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SYZ.TO right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$1.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (C$0.4400 to C$1.49). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of SYZ.TO

How large is the market capitalisation of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
The market capitalisation of SYZ.TO is C$82.3M (≈ $58.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SYZ.TO is 1.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
Earnings per share at SYZ.TO are C$−0.3200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
The dividend yield of SYZ.TO is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
The net margin of SYZ.TO is −7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SYZ.TO is −23.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SYZ.TO is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
The operating margin of SYZ.TO is −9.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
Revenue at SYZ.TO is growing −9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SYZ.TO (SYZ)?
Earnings per share at SYZ.TO are growing +215% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SYZ.TO (SYZ) carry?
The net debt of SYZ.TO is C$10.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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