Tadiran Group (TDRN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · Il · Market cap 1.6B ILA
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 149.04 ILA to 143.42 ILA (−3.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −19.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (157.47 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (55.45 ILA to 157.47 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 142.03 ILA – 615.58 ILA · fair‑value band 55.45 ILA – 157.47 ILA · the 186.80 ILA price screens above the 143.42 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Tadiran Group (TDRN) currently trades at 186.80 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 143.42 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 23.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tadiran Group generated revenue of 1.9B ILA at a net margin of -1.9%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.3%. Net debt stands at 447M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 55.45 ILA (bear case) to 157.47 ILA (bull case); at 186.80 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -23%, TDRN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (160.35 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (5.29 ILA). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tadiran Group Ltd engages in the import, marketing, distribution, and sale of air conditioners and air conditioning systems in Israel, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through the Consumer Goods, Energy, and Other segments.
Full company description
Tadiran Group Ltd engages in the import, marketing, distribution, and sale of air conditioners and air conditioning systems in Israel, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through the Consumer Goods, Energy, and Other segments. It offers air conditioners and air conditioning systems under the Tadiran, Amcor, SFERA, Toshiba, and Spectra brands; and central cooling units under the Aermec brand; fan coil blowers; refrigerators, washing machines, dryers, freezers, ovens, and microwaves under the Amcor and Crystal brands, as well as heat pumps. The company also provides after-sales, warranty, and maintenance services. In addition, it is involved in the import, distribution, and trade of photovoltaic energy products; production of aluminum profiles for construction of solar energy systems; planning and execution of various types of building cladding projects; and provision of fire protection solutions and related products. The company was formerly known as Tadiran Holdings Ltd and changed its name to Tadiran Group Ltd in May 2021. Tadiran Group Ltd was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tadiran Group reported revenue of 1.9B ILA in FY2025 versus 1.4B ILA in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −49.9M ILA in FY2025.
TDRN screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Apple Inc →
Peer Group
Consumer Electronics · 129 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Consumer Electronics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Inc AAPL | $313.33 | $122.91 | -61% |
| Samsung Electronics Co 005930 | 255,000 KRW | 138,019 KRW | -46% |
| Sony Group SONYN | 366.00 MXN | 468.94 MXN | +28% |
| Xiaomi Corporation 1810 | HK$26.88 | HK$39.84 | +48% |
| LG Electronics Inc 066570 | 179,000 KRW | 101,531 KRW | -43% |
| Sharetronic Data Technology Co 300857 | ¥277.96 | ¥35.89 | -87% |
| Huaqin Co 603296 | ¥78.20 | ¥65.69 | -16% |
| Goertek Inc 002241 | ¥22.25 | ¥18.86 | -15% |
| LG Corp 003550 | 102,400 KRW | 93,881 KRW | -8% |
| Anker Innovations Limited 300866 | ¥105.92 | ¥78.52 | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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