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Thungela Resources Limited (TGA) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · ZA · Market cap 17.7B ZAC

Price99.88 ZAC
Fair Value119.00 ZAC
Upside+19.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range 101.01 ZAC – 137.00 ZAC

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

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Analysis

Thungela Resources Limited (TGA) currently trades at 99.88 ZAC, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 119.00 ZAC — implying the stock looks roughly 19.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Thungela Resources Limited engages in the mining and production of thermal coal in South Africa and Australia. It owns interests in and produces its thermal coal from mining operations, consisting of underground and open cast mines in the Mpumalanga province of South Africa, including Greenside colliery, Khwezela colliery, Zibulo colliery, Mafube colliery, and Annea colliery. The company also holds 100% of the Ensham Mine located in Queensland, Australia. It also exports its products to Southeast Asian, the Middle East, and African markets. Thungela Resources Limited was founded in 1945 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thungela Resources Limited (TGA) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 119.00 ZAC versus a price of 99.88 ZAC — about +19% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TGA?
Our 21-model fair value for Thungela Resources Limited is 119.00 ZAC (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 99.88 ZAC.
What is the quality score of TGA?
Thungela Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.