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TROPHY GAMES Development A/S (TGAMES) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · DK · Market cap 379M DKK

TG TROPHY GAMES Development A/S TGAMES · CO
Pricekr 13.75
Fair Valuekr 1.45
Upside-89.5%
Quality70/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range kr 0.9500 – kr 1.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from kr 1.39 to kr 1.45 (+4.3%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.9500 to kr 1.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 16.45 kr 3.13 Fair Value kr 1.45 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.13 – kr 16.45 · fair‑value band kr 0.9500 – kr 1.94 · the kr 13.75 price screens above the kr 1.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

TROPHY GAMES Development A/S (TGAMES) currently trades at kr 13.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.45, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, TROPHY GAMES Development A/S generated revenue of 147M DKK at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue grew 93.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 23.0M DKK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.9500 (bear case) to kr 1.94 (bull case); at kr 13.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -89%, TGAMES screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 2.58 kr 3.82 kr 5.78 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 7.31 kr 13.62 kr 26.70 74
ROIC Compounder kr 6.25 kr 8.72 kr 11.59 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 2.69 kr 3.53 kr 6.04 38
Owner Earnings kr 5.78 kr 11.05 kr 20.83 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 6.64 kr 12.03 kr 23.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 8.73 kr 16.24 kr 31.03 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 6.84 kr 15.49 kr 27.48 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 5.07 kr 12.53 kr 18.03 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 6.73 kr 16.62 kr 34.73 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 5.47 kr 12.92 kr 25.60 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 3.21 kr 22.41 kr 31.45 54
Lynch FV kr 11.58 kr 16.54 kr 21.50 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 11.58 kr 16.54 kr 21.50 46
EPV kr 5.08 kr 5.65 kr 6.13 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 7.80 kr 10.40 kr 13.00 63
P/S Multiple kr 6.03 kr 8.03 kr 10.04 58
P/B Multiple kr 6.03 kr 8.03 kr 10.04 55
EV/EBIT kr 10.11 kr 13.19 kr 16.28 53
EV/EBITDA kr 11.40 kr 14.91 kr 18.42 54
EV/Revenue kr 7.88 kr 10.88 kr 13.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.25 kr 1.67 kr 2.49 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 2.58 kr 3.82 kr 5.78 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 7.31 kr 13.62 kr 26.70 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 2.69 kr 3.58 kr 11.03 61
ROIC Compounder kr 6.25 kr 8.72 kr 11.59 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 15.37 kr 21.96 kr 28.54 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 21.96) versus Asset-Based (kr 1.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 147M DKK
Revenue growth (YoY) +93.6%
Net margin 8.7%
Return on equity 20.1%
Free cash flow 3.6M DKK FY2025
P/E ratio 28.6
More key figures
Operating margin 11.0%
EPS (TTM) kr 0.4800
Net cash 23.0M DKK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 80
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TROPHY GAMES Development A/S engages in the developing, manufacturing, publishing, and selling of online games for computers, web, mobiles, and related products in Denmark. It primarily focuses on football management games. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TROPHY GAMES Development A/S reported revenue of kr 126M in FY2025 versus kr 37.7M in FY2021, a compound +35.4%/yr. Reported net income was kr 12.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
126M DKK
Latest YoY
+40.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.6%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+55.1%
Revenue +35.4%/yr
FY21 kr 37.7M
FY22 kr 50.6M
FY23 kr 54.4M
FY24 kr 90.1M
FY25 kr 126M
Net income
FY21 −kr 920K
FY22 −kr 12.5M
FY23 kr 2.6M
FY24 kr 7.1M
FY25 kr 12.5M

TGAMES screens 89% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TROPHY GAMES Development A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGAMES

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 155 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 94% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 7
PAST 80 · sector 9
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NetEase, Inc 9999 HK$192.50 HK$262.75 +36%
Electronic Arts Inc EA $209.70 $76.57 -63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $243.00 $60.20 -75%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $36.22 $21.20 -41%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.29 ¥14.68 +3%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 234,500 KRW 356,218 KRW +52%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥28.57 ¥15.50 -46%
International Games System Co 3293 762.00 TWD 568.16 TWD -25%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.21 ¥22.29 +16%
Kingnet Network Co 002517 ¥17.36 ¥12.86 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TROPHY GAMES Development A/S (TGAMES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.45 versus a price of kr 13.75, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TGAMES?
Our model-based fair value for TROPHY GAMES Development A/S is kr 1.45 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 13.75.
What is the quality score of TGAMES?
TROPHY GAMES Development A/S has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TROPHY GAMES Development A/S (TGAMES)?
TROPHY GAMES Development A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 147M DKK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TGAMES?
The net profit margin of TROPHY GAMES Development A/S is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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