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Thanasiri Group (THANA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TH · Market cap 424M THB

TG Thanasiri Group THANA · BK
Price1.60 THB
Fair Value3.90 THB
Upside+143.8%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range 2.42 THB – 5.39 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +4.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 144% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.42 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (2.42 THB to 5.39 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.28 THB 0.7900 THB Fair Value 3.90 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.7900 THB – 3.28 THB · fair‑value band 2.42 THB – 5.39 THB · the 1.60 THB price screens below the 3.90 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Thanasiri Group (THANA) currently trades at 1.60 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.90 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 143.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thanasiri Group generated revenue of 473M THB at a net margin of -1.0%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.3%. Net debt stands at 389M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.42 THB (bear case) to 5.39 THB (bull case); at 1.60 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 125% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 144%, THANA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3.95 THB 5.14 THB 6.99 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 3.88 THB 5.86 THB 8.29 THB 74
Gordon GGM 0.1200 THB 0.1300 THB 0.1500 THB 70
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3.82 THB 5.08 THB 7.19 THB 38
5Y Revenue Exit 3.88 THB 5.75 THB 8.47 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.50 THB 1.64 THB 1.82 THB 41
10Y Revenue Exit 3.72 THB 5.02 THB 6.39 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.51 THB 2.69 THB 2.83 THB 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.1200 THB 0.1300 THB 0.1500 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.1200 THB 0.1500 THB 0.1800 THB 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue 4.32 THB 6.31 THB 8.31 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.01 THB 1.36 THB 2.03 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.95 THB 5.14 THB 6.99 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 3.88 THB 5.86 THB 8.29 THB 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (6.31 THB) versus Dividend Discount (0.1300 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 473M THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net margin -1.0%
Return on equity -1.3%
Free cash flow 142M THB FY2025
Operating margin -25.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0300 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +315%
Net debt 389M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thanasiri Group Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells real estate properties in Thailand. It provides single-family homes, semi-detached houses, and townhouses under the Thanazio, Thanavillage, Thana Habitat, Thanacluster, Thana Residence, Siri Village, and Anabuki Thana Habitat brands.

Full company description

Thanasiri Group Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells real estate properties in Thailand. It provides single-family homes, semi-detached houses, and townhouses under the Thanazio, Thanavillage, Thana Habitat, Thanacluster, Thana Residence, Siri Village, and Anabuki Thana Habitat brands. The company was formerly known as Thanasiri Baan Lae Suan Company Limited and changed its name to Thanasiri Group Public Company Limited in April 2009. Thanasiri Group Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thanasiri Group reported revenue of 468M THB in FY2025 versus 287M THB in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was −7.6M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
468M THB
Latest YoY
−13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.6%
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 287M THB
FY22 690M THB
FY23 464M THB
FY24 543M THB
FY25 468M THB
Net income
FY21 23.0M THB
FY22 84.4M THB
FY23 40.9M THB
FY24 34.2M THB
FY25 −7.6M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share −5.8 pp

of which total revenue −4.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.0 pp

EBIT margin +10.6 pp
Tax rate +2.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thanasiri Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THANA

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +144% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -25% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.25× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 32 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 87 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thanasiri Group (THANA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.90 THB versus a price of 1.60 THB, about +144% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THANA?
Our model-based fair value for Thanasiri Group is 3.90 THB (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1.60 THB.
What is the quality score of THANA?
Thanasiri Group has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thanasiri Group (THANA)?
Thanasiri Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 473M THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THANA?
The net profit margin of Thanasiri Group is about -1.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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