Thinc Collective AB (THINC) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · SE · Market cap 34.1M SEK

Below-average quality, and screening another 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• Our model range runs from kr 1.16 (bear) to kr 1.92 (bull), base kr 1.41. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.36 – kr 14.58 · fair‑value band kr 1.16 – kr 1.92 · the kr 1.95 price screens above the kr 1.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Thinc Collective AB (THINC) currently trades at kr 1.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.41, implying the stock looks roughly 27.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Thinc Collective AB generated revenue of 307M SEK at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 9.7M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 1.16 (bear case) to kr 1.92 (bull case); at kr 1.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -28%, THINC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 3.31) versus Earnings-Based (kr 1.02). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Thinc Collective AB (publ) offers systems, communication, and structure services in Sweden and internationally. The company provides data, analysis, technology development, SaaS systems to communication, media, PR, and brand experience; brand development, brand activation, communication concepts, design, e-learning, film and sound production, 3D graphics; …

Full company description

Thinc Collective AB (publ) offers systems, communication, and structure services in Sweden and internationally. The company provides data, analysis, technology development, SaaS systems to communication, media, PR, and brand experience; brand development, brand activation, communication concepts, design, e-learning, film and sound production, 3D graphics; and consulting and buying, social media and content, tactical influence, activity plans, web production, and interaction design. It also offers system support within meetings and events; automated ad production services; and digital asset management systems, as well as operation and support services. The company was formerly known as Thinc Jetty Collective AB (publ). Thinc Collective AB (publ) was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thinc Collective AB reported revenue of kr 305M in FY2025 versus kr 152M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 1.2M in FY2025, compounding +51.8%/yr from FY2021.

THINC screens 28% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 200 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.