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THOR Industries, Inc (THO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.8B

TI THOR Industries, Inc logo THOR Industries, Inc THO · US
Price$79.55
Fair Value$97.14
Upside+22.1%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.81% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range $71.24 – $123.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from $108.15 to $97.14 (−10.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from $71.24 (bear) to $123.04 (bull), base $97.14. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$131.46 $62.89 Fair Value $97.14 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $62.89 – $131.46 · fair‑value band $71.24 – $123.04 · the $79.55 price screens below the $97.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

THOR Industries, Inc (THO) currently trades at $79.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $97.14, implying the stock looks roughly 22.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, THOR Industries, Inc generated revenue of $9.9B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. Net debt stands at $336M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $71.24 (bear case) to $123.04 (bull case); at $79.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 22%, THO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $98.41 $170.04 $284.15 80
Residual Income $64.16 $66.00 $65.91 76
Rev-Margin DCF $63.24 $105.17 $158.94 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $99.21 $177.65 $307.26 38
Owner Earnings $88.03 $158.17 $274.06 31
5Y Revenue Exit $63.24 $105.19 $160.25 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $89.14 $158.07 $243.30 41
5Y P/E Exit $78.96 $137.28 $202.75 38
10Y Revenue Exit $73.23 $116.48 $179.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $91.65 $154.16 $246.61 37
10Y P/E Exit $85.07 $139.35 $213.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $33.77 $151.72 $207.95 54
Lynch FV $39.53 $56.47 $73.41 50
PEG = 1.0 $39.53 $56.47 $73.41 46
EPV $39.01 $46.18 $52.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $17.91 $35.68 $54.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage $17.91 $30.83 $37.66 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $81.95 $109.27 $136.59 63
P/S Multiple $63.33 $84.44 $105.54 58
P/B Multiple $63.33 $84.44 $105.54 55
EV/EBIT $71.30 $97.20 $123.10 53
EV/EBITDA $92.29 $125.19 $158.08 54
EV/Revenue $45.98 $68.43 $90.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $41.19 $55.19 $82.38 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $98.41 $170.04 $284.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $63.24 $105.17 $158.94 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $64.16 $66.00 $65.91 76
ROIC Compounder $39.01 $46.18 $52.37 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $66.02 $94.31 $122.60 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($139.35) versus Dividend Discount ($30.83). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.9%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow $455M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.5%
EPS (TTM) $4.94
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.5%
Net debt $336M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

THOR Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells recreational vehicles (RVs), and related parts and accessories in the United States, Germany, rest of Europe, Canada, and internationally.

Full company description

THOR Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells recreational vehicles (RVs), and related parts and accessories in the United States, Germany, rest of Europe, Canada, and internationally. The company offers travel trailers; gasoline and diesel Class A, Class B, and Class C motorhomes; conventional travel trailers and fifth wheels; conventional motorhomes; luxury fifth wheels; and motorcaravans, campervans, urban vehicles, and caravans, as well as other RV-related products and services. It also provides aluminum extrusion and specialized component products to RV and other manufacturers. The company sells its products to independent and non-franchise dealers. THOR Industries, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is based in Elkhart, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

THOR Industries, Inc reported revenue of $9.6B in FY2025 versus $12.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was $259M in FY2025, compounding −20.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.6B
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y)
+11.5%
Revenue −6.1%/yr
FY21 $12.3B
FY22 $16.3B
FY23 $11.1B
FY24 $10.0B
FY25 $9.6B
Net income −20.9%/yr
FY21 $660M
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $374M
FY24 $265M
FY25 $259M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "THOR Industries, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THO

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Recreational Vehicles · 37 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.21× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.71× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 63 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 15
PAST 24 · sector 18
HEALTH 89 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 56 · sector 57

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 ¥293.01 ¥199.10 -32%
Brunswick Corporation BC $80.45 $16.76 -79%
BRP Inc DOO C$85.96 C$86.81 +1%
Polaris Inc PII $67.40 $29.83 -56%
Trigano S.A TRI €149.60 €273.48 +83%
Patrick Industries, Inc PATK $82.70 $85.54 +3%
Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG $26.81 $64.09 +139%
LCI Industries, LCII $108.17 $156.35 +45%
Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL €38.30 €40.65 +6%
Ferretti S.p.A 9638 HK$36.00 HK$51.06 +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is THOR Industries, Inc (THO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $97.14 versus a price of $79.55, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THO?
Our model-based fair value for THOR Industries, Inc is $97.14 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $79.55.
What is the quality score of THO?
THOR Industries, Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of THOR Industries, Inc (THO)?
THOR Industries, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THO?
The net profit margin of THOR Industries, Inc is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does THOR Industries, Inc pay a dividend?
THOR Industries, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.62% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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