Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co (603129) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 45.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +13.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥160.71 to ¥500.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥81.10 – ¥307.28 · fair‑value band ¥160.71 – ¥500.74 · the ¥293.01 price screens above the ¥199.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co (603129) currently trades at ¥293.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥199.10, implying the stock looks roughly 32.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co generated revenue of 20.9B CNY at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 26.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 7.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥160.71 (bear case) to ¥500.74 (bull case); at ¥293.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at -32%, 603129 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥493.56) versus Asset-Based (¥32.75). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in research, development, manufacturing, and sales of motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles, new energy two-wheeled vehicles, and core components in China, rest of Asia, North America, Oceania, Africa, South America, and Europe.
Full company description
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in research, development, manufacturing, and sales of motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles, new energy two-wheeled vehicles, and core components in China, rest of Asia, North America, Oceania, Africa, South America, and Europe. It provides motorcycles, off-road vehicles, engines, frames, parts, apparel, accessories, lifestyle and gift products, and gear. Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd was founded in 1989 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co reported revenue of ¥19.7B in FY2025 versus ¥7.9B in FY2021, a compound +25.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.7B in FY2025, compounding +42.0%/yr from FY2021.
603129 screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Brunswick Corporation →
Peer Group
Recreational Vehicles · 37 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brunswick Corporation BC | $80.45 | $16.76 | -79% |
| BRP Inc DOO | C$85.96 | C$86.81 | +1% |
| Polaris Inc PII | $67.40 | $29.83 | -56% |
| THOR Industries, Inc THO | $72.86 | $97.14 | +33% |
| Trigano S.A TRI | €149.60 | €273.48 | +83% |
| Patrick Industries, Inc PATK | $82.70 | $85.54 | +3% |
| Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG | $26.81 | $64.09 | +139% |
| LCI Industries, LCII | $108.17 | $156.35 | +45% |
| Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL | €38.30 | €40.65 | +6% |
| Ferretti S.p.A 9638 | HK$36.00 | HK$51.06 | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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