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PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk (TIFA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ID · Market cap 838B IDR

PK PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk TIFA · JK
Price334.00 IDR
Fair Value242.66 IDR
Upside-27.4%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 43.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range 182.00 IDR – 323.11 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +46.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (323.11 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,139 IDR 214.00 IDR Fair Value 242.66 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 214.00 IDR – 1,139 IDR · fair‑value band 182.00 IDR – 323.11 IDR · the 334.00 IDR price screens above the 242.66 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk (TIFA) currently trades at 334.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 242.66 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk generated revenue of 142B IDR at a net margin of 43.6%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at 721B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 182.00 IDR (bear case) to 323.11 IDR (bull case); at 334.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -27%, TIFA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 128.24 IDR 241.37 IDR 414.06 IDR 80
Residual Income 273.24 IDR 283.20 IDR 285.85 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 32.77 IDR 83.79 IDR 144.38 IDR 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 167.15 IDR 322.28 IDR 575.33 IDR 31
5Y P/E Exit 97.17 IDR 203.78 IDR 316.33 IDR 38
10Y P/E Exit 104.88 IDR 201.23 IDR 320.62 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 126.93 IDR 421.61 IDR 564.24 IDR 54
Lynch FV 95.38 IDR 136.26 IDR 177.14 IDR 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 173.14 IDR 378.00 IDR 636.00 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 173.14 IDR 300.84 IDR 393.94 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 182.00 IDR 242.66 IDR 303.33 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 237.99 IDR 317.33 IDR 396.66 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 171.49 IDR 229.80 IDR 342.99 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 128.24 IDR 241.37 IDR 414.06 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 32.77 IDR 83.79 IDR 144.38 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 273.24 IDR 283.20 IDR 285.85 IDR 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (300.84 IDR) versus Growth DCF (83.79 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 142B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.6%
Net margin 43.6%
Return on equity 5.1%
Free cash flow 59.5B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 13.5
More key figures
Operating margin 23.9%
EPS (TTM) 17.42 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -50.1%
Net debt 721B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk engages in the investment financing, working capital financing, and multipurpose financing businesses in Indonesia. The company operates through four segments: Finance Lease, Multipurpose Financing, Sharia Financing, and Treasury.

Full company description

PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk engages in the investment financing, working capital financing, and multipurpose financing businesses in Indonesia. The company operates through four segments: Finance Lease, Multipurpose Financing, Sharia Financing, and Treasury. The company offers Finance Lease, Installment, Opeating Lease, and infrastructure Financing; Business Capital Facility; Factoring with Recourse, as well as Sharia financing comprising Ijarah Muntahiyah Bit Tamlik and Murabahah services. The company was formerly known as PT Tifa Finance Tbk and changed its name to PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk in September 2020. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk operates as a subsidiary of The Korea Development Bank.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk reported revenue of 177B IDR in FY2025 versus 114B IDR in FY2021, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was 66.3B IDR in FY2025, compounding +25.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
177B IDR
Latest YoY
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Revenue +11.6%/yr
FY21 114B IDR
FY22 151B IDR
FY23 165B IDR
FY24 178B IDR
FY25 177B IDR
Net income +25.5%/yr
FY21 26.7B IDR
FY22 56.9B IDR
FY23 59.9B IDR
FY24 65.0B IDR
FY25 66.3B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share −14.7 pp

of which total revenue −2.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −12.1 pp

EBIT margin +6.0 pp
Tax rate +2.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TIFA screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIFA

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Below median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.24× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 5.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 20 · sector 32
HEALTH 88 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk (TIFA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 242.66 IDR versus a price of 334.00 IDR, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TIFA?
Our model-based fair value for PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk is 242.66 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 334.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TIFA?
PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk (TIFA)?
PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 142B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TIFA?
The net profit margin of PT KDB Tifa Finance Tbk is about 43.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 43.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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