TIL Limited (TIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹16.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +5.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹90.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (16/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (₹38.70 to ₹90.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹86.05 – ₹588.00 · fair‑value band ₹38.70 – ₹90.44 · the ₹229.85 price screens above the ₹67.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
TIL Limited (TIL) currently trades at ₹229.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹67.51, implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, TIL Limited generated revenue of ₹3.2B at a net margin of -9.5%. Revenue grew 7.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.8%. Net debt stands at ₹3.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹38.70 (bear case) to ₹90.44 (bull case); at ₹229.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -71%, TIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (₹98.78) versus Asset-Based (₹10.57). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 19 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TIL Limited, together with its subsidiary, TIL Overseas PTE Limited, provides materials handling solutions in India and internationally.
Full company description
TIL Limited, together with its subsidiary, TIL Overseas PTE Limited, provides materials handling solutions in India and internationally. It offers material handling, lifting, port, and road construction equipment; rough terrain, truck, pick and carry, and articulating cranes; manitowoc crawler and grove cranes; and reach stackers, forklift trucks, and container handlers, as well as offers boom lifts. The company deals in spares; and provides related equipment services. In addition, it offers customer support and after sales services. The company was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
TIL Limited reported revenue of ₹3.2B in FY2026 versus ₹662M in FY2022, a compound +48.6%/yr. Reported net income was −₹308M in FY2026.
TIL screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥28.69 | ¥42.00 | +46% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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