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TIL Limited (TIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of TIL Limited ₹47.99, price ₹250, upside -80.8%, quality 16 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · IN · ISIN INE806C01018

TL Thin data Oct 2, 2026

TIL Limited

TIL · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹47.99 · Strongly overvalued (−80.8%)
!Quality 16/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.1% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹588.00 ₹86.05 Fair Value ₹47.99 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹86.05 – ₹588.00 · fair‑value band ₹31.15 – ₹58.74 · the ₹250.05 price screens above the ₹47.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

TIL Limited, together with its subsidiary, TIL Overseas PTE Limited, provides materials handling solutions in India and internationally.

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TIL Limited, together with its subsidiary, TIL Overseas PTE Limited, provides materials handling solutions in India and internationally. It offers material handling, lifting, port, and road construction equipment; rough terrain, truck, pick and carry, and articulating cranes; manitowoc crawler and grove cranes; and reach stackers, forklift trucks, and container handlers, as well as offers boom lifts. The company deals in spares; and provides related equipment services. In addition, it offers customer support and after sales services. The company was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.

Stock analysis

TIL Limited (TIL) currently trades at ₹250.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹47.99, 80.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ₹67.90 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ₹250.05 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹10.57, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹31.15 (bear) to ₹58.74 (bull), the price of ₹250.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

TIL Limited reported revenue of ₹3.2B in FY2026 versus ₹662M in FY2022, a compound +48.6%/yr. Reported net income was −₹308M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹20.6B (≈ $214M) · P/S ratio 5.46 · EPS (TTM) ₹−4.35 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin −9.5% · Return on equity −31.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.2% · Operating margin 4.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −81%, TIL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹31.15 Fair Value ₹47.99 Bull ₹58.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ₹42.74 ₹71.59 ₹92.92 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹42.74 ₹67.90 ₹77.02 67
NCAV (Graham) ₹7.89 ₹10.57 ₹15.78 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹42.74 ₹71.59 ₹92.92 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹42.74 ₹67.90 ₹77.02 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹7.89 ₹10.57 ₹15.78 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 16/100

Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+94.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.5% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−14.0% (2021) → −0.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TIL screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 146 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 16 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 86.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.03× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)49 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)42 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $810.79 $308.45 −62%
Deere & Company DE $671.55 $258.17 −62%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $109.81 $120.79 +10%
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €42.54 €50.36 +18%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥17.20 ¥20.84 +21%
CNH Industrial N.V CNH $13.06 $8.65 −34%
Traton SE 8TRA €35.12 €32.82 −7%
Metso Oyj METSO €17.08 €18.79 +10%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥7.17 ¥14.52 +103%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$35.30 HK$56.32 +60%

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TIL Limited · Fair Value
₹47.99 −81%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TIL Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIL

Frequently asked questions

Is TIL Limited (TIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹47.99 versus a price of ₹250.05, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TIL?
Our model-based fair value for TIL Limited is ₹47.99 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹250.05.
What is the quality score of TIL?
TIL Limited has a Quality Score of 16/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TIL Limited (TIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹47.99 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹31.15, optimistic scenario ₹58.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TIL Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹47.99, about −81% upside versus a price of ₹250.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹31.15, optimistic scenario ₹58.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TIL Limited (TIL)?
TIL Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does TIL Limited pay a dividend?
TIL Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.09% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TIL Limited (TIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TIL Limited it is ₹47.99 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹250.05. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TIL Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, TIL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹250.05, fair value ₹47.99, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹250.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹47.99). For TIL Limited the two are ₹202.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TIL Limited worth?
The market values TIL Limited at about ₹20.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹250.05; our models calculate a fair value of ₹47.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TIL?
Our models span a range for TIL Limited: cautious scenario ₹31.15, base ₹47.99, optimistic ₹58.74 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹250.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TIL Limited (TIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for TIL Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −31.8%, debt of 1.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 16/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TIL from its 52-week high?
TIL Limited trades at ₹250.05, about 25% below its 52-week high of ₹332.90 and 53% above the low of ₹163.56 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹47.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TIL Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TIL Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹250.05, calculated fair value ₹47.99 (−81%), Quality Score 16/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TIL calculated?
We run TIL Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹47.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. TIL Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TIL Limited (TIL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹250.05. Our model-based fair value is ₹47.99, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TIL Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹58.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (16/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹31.15 to ₹58.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of TIL Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of TIL Limited (TIL)?
The market capitalisation of TIL Limited is ₹20.6B (≈ $214M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TIL Limited (TIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TIL Limited is 5.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TIL Limited (TIL)?
Earnings per share at TIL Limited are ₹−4.35. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TIL Limited (TIL)?
The dividend yield of TIL Limited is 2.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TIL Limited (TIL)?
The net margin of TIL Limited is −9.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TIL Limited (TIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TIL Limited is −31.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TIL Limited (TIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TIL Limited is −22.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TIL Limited (TIL)?
The operating margin of TIL Limited is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TIL Limited (TIL)?
Revenue at TIL Limited is growing +86.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +94.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TIL Limited (TIL)?
Earnings per share at TIL Limited are growing −98.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TIL Limited (TIL) generate?
The free cash flow of TIL Limited is −₹947M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TIL Limited (TIL) carry?
The net debt of TIL Limited is ₹3.7B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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