PT TIMAH Tbk (TINS) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 26.7T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 2,593 IDR to 2,595 IDR (+0.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +17.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3,748 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (1,604 IDR to 3,748 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 501.36 IDR – 4,491 IDR · fair‑value band 1,604 IDR – 3,748 IDR · the 3,860 IDR price screens above the 2,595 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT TIMAH Tbk (TINS) currently trades at 3,860 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,595 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 32.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT TIMAH Tbk generated revenue of 14.9T IDR at a net margin of 18.1%. Revenue grew 160.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 85.2B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,604 IDR (bear case) to 3,748 IDR (bull case); at 3,860 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 294% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -33%, TINS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2,998 IDR) versus Asset-Based (756.42 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT TIMAH Tbk engages in tin mining and smelting operations in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Tin Mining, Coal Mining, Construction, Industry, and Other segments. The company offers Banka, Kundur, and Mentok tin, as well as tin solder and chemical products; and non-tin products, such as coal, nickel, and quartz sand.
Full company description
PT TIMAH Tbk engages in tin mining and smelting operations in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Tin Mining, Coal Mining, Construction, Industry, and Other segments. The company offers Banka, Kundur, and Mentok tin, as well as tin solder and chemical products; and non-tin products, such as coal, nickel, and quartz sand. It is also involved in the provision of workshop, construction, shipping dockyards, real estate development, and transportation; marketing coal; and trading activities. In addition, the company provides engineering and ship repair services, such as maritime vessel maintenance, shipbuilding, rental and purchase of maritime products, and other shipyard services. Further, it offers reclamation and agribusiness services, including agriculture, livestock, fisheries, trade essential oil industry, and agro-tourism services. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Bangka, Indonesia. PT TIMAH Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Mineral Industri Indonesia (Persero).
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT TIMAH Tbk reported revenue of 11.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 14.6T IDR in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3T IDR in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.
TINS screens 33% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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