Telecom Italia S.p.A (TIT) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · IT · Market cap €17.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 18 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from €3.07 to €2.85 (−7.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€1.78 to €3.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.71 – €8.14 · fair‑value band €1.78 – €3.64 · the €7.61 price screens above the €2.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Telecom Italia S.p.A (TIT) currently trades at €7.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.85, implying the stock looks roughly 62.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Telecom Italia S.p.A generated revenue of €13.9B at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at €8.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.78 (bear case) to €3.64 (bull case); at €7.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -63%, TIT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 18 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€3.85) versus Earnings-Based (€0.8800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Telecom Italia S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the fixed and mobile telecommunications services and products for individuals, households, and supports small and medium-sized enterprises in Italy and internationally. It operates through Domestic, Brazil, and Other Operations segments.
Full company description
Telecom Italia S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the fixed and mobile telecommunications services and products for individuals, households, and supports small and medium-sized enterprises in Italy and internationally. It operates through Domestic, Brazil, and Other Operations segments. The company offers telephone and internet services, as well as products managed and developed in landline and mobile for individuals and families; voice, data, and internet services and products; and information and communications technology solutions for top, public sector and large account customers. It also provides connectivity services; mobile phone services and fiber optic data transmission using IP technology and residential broadband services; and internet of things services. Telecom Italia S.p.A. was incorporated in 1908 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Telecom Italia S.p.A reported revenue of €13.7B in FY2025 versus €15.3B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €297M in FY2025.
TIT screens 63% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Telecom Italia SpA (TIIAY) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Underlying Growth and ...
- Telecom Italia reports growth in second quarter earnings
- Is Telecom Italia (BIT:TIT) Pricing In Restructuring Hopes Or Still Offering Value At €0.73?
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 252 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥89.98 | ¥109.88 | +22% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $187.61 | $172.67 | -8% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,922 | ₹941.55 | -51% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.01 | ¥8.36 | +39% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 507.27 MXN | +95% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 379.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -24% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 133.50 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -25% |
| China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 | HK$6.50 | HK$13.03 | +100% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 111.01 MXN | +47% |
Compare Telecom Italia S.p.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Communication Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Telecom Italia S.p.A (TIT) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TIT?
What is the quality score of TIT?
What is the revenue of Telecom Italia S.p.A (TIT)?
What is the net profit margin of TIT?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Telecom Italia S.p.A and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.