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Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. $19.32, price $9.66, upside +100.0%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S.
TKKYY · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $19.32 · Strongly undervalued (+100.0%)
!Quality 40/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +60.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.1% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range $7.75 – $24.59 · fair‑value band $10.11 – $33.20 · the $9.66 price screens below the $19.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. manufactures and sells glass products. The company operates through six segments: Architectural Glass, Industrial Glass, Glass Packaging, Glassware, Chemicals, and Energy and Others.
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Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. manufactures and sells glass products. The company operates through six segments: Architectural Glass, Industrial Glass, Glass Packaging, Glassware, Chemicals, and Energy and Others. The company offers architectural glass products, such as flat, patterned, mirror, laminated, coated, solar power, and home appliance glass products; automotive glass products; and energy glass products. It also produces and sells glassware, as well as glass packaging products for various industries, including food, beverages, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics; and retails glass, ceramics, porcelain, and wood and steel tableware and kitchenware, and home decoration items under the Life and Boutique concepts through Pasabahçe stores located in Turkey and international markets, as well as through online sales channels. In addition, the company produces and sells soda ash and chromium chemicals, vitamin K3 derivatives, and sodium metabisulfite to food, textiles, mining, water treatment, construction chemicals, and leather industries; glass fibers; and manufactures glass for automobiles, and light and heavy commercial vehicles. Further, it is involved in the mining of silica sand, feldspar, limestone, dolomite, kaolin, and quartzite; generation and sale of electricity; wholesale and trading of natural gas; glass recycling and waste collection activities; and production and trading of soda goods, as well as offers finance and investment, and insurance agency services. The company operates in Turkey, Germany, Italy, Bulgaria, Romania, Slovakia, Hungary, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Russia, Georgia, Ukraine, Egypt, India, the United States. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. operates as a subsidiary of Türkiye Is Bankasi A.S.
Stock analysis
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY) currently trades at $9.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.32, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $23.53 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the $9.66 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.06, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $10.11 (bear) to $33.20 (bull), the price of $9.66 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. reported revenue of 225B TRY in FY2025 versus 32.1B TRY in FY2021, a compound +62.7%/yr. Reported net income was 9.9B TRY in FY2025, compounding +2.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.4B · P/E ratio 42.0 · P/S ratio 1.85 · EPS (TTM) $0.2300 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 100%, TKKYY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.11
Fair Value $19.32
Bull $33.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1739 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$12.13
$11.96
$12.37
74
Growth DCF
$22.46
$46.33
$84.80
72
Rev-Margin DCF
$6.79
$11.36
$21.22
67
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit
$10.40
$23.27
$39.98
65
10Y P/E Exit
$14.77
$30.31
$53.95
59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$4.57
$31.88
$44.73
61
Lynch FV
$16.47
$23.53
$30.58
59
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$8.57
$11.43
$14.28
63
P/B Multiple
$8.57
$11.43
$14.28
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$8.25
$11.06
$16.51
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$22.46
$46.33
$84.80
72
Rev-Margin DCF
$6.79
$11.36
$21.22
67
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$12.13
$11.96
$12.37
74
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
40/100
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Profitability
26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
8
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.4%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+32.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+30.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 0%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+72.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+24.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in TRY, Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +44.6% a year for the price and +4.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+23.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+29.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+26.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+22.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+19.3%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 359 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Keppel Ltd BN4 | 11.30 SGD | 3.88 SGD | −66% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.32 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $9.66, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TKKYY?
Our model-based fair value for Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is $19.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $9.66.
What is the quality score of TKKYY?
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.11, optimistic scenario $33.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.32, about +100% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $9.66 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.11, optimistic scenario $33.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 166B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. pay a dividend?
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by +72.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +60.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TKKYY use?
Our models discount Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. that is +72.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. grew +60.1 % a year. The price currently implies +72.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (+72.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.27 %: that much free cash flow Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. it is $19.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $9.66. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TKKYY trades below its calculated fair value: price $9.66, fair value $19.32, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TKKYY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.32). For Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. the two are $9.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. worth?
The market values Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. at about $2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $9.66; our models calculate a fair value of $19.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TKKYY?
Our models span a range for Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S.: cautious scenario $10.11, base $19.32, optimistic $33.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $9.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TKKYY?
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 10.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 0.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TKKYY from its 52-week high?
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. trades at $9.66, at its 52-week high of $9.66 and 25% above the low of $7.75 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $19.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $9.66, calculated fair value $19.32 (+100%), Quality Score 40/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TKKYY calculated?
We run Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $19.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $9.66. Our model-based fair value is $19.32, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.11). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($10.11 to $33.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
The market capitalisation of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is $2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is 1.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
Earnings per share at Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. are $0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
The dividend yield of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is 2.1% (payout 88.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
The net margin of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
Revenue at Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY)?
Earnings per share at Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. are growing +32.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. (TKKYY) carry?
The net debt of Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari A.S. is 120B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 30.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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