Tokyo Lifestyle Co (TKLF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $8.7M
Tokyo Lifestyle Co
TKLF · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.1700 to $0.2100 (+23.5%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −10.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range $1.85 – $315.69 · fair‑value band $0.1600 – $0.2600 · the $1.99 price screens above the $0.2100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tokyo Lifestyle Co (TKLF) currently trades at $1.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2100, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tokyo Lifestyle Co generated revenue of $303M at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 94.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at $66.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1600 (bear case) to $0.2600 (bull case); at $1.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -89%, TKLF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($30.13) versus Asset-Based ($6.81). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. engages in the retail and wholesale of beauty, health, sundry, and other products in Japan, China, Hong Kong, the United States, Canada, Thailand, and the United Kingdom. The company sells its products under its flagship brand, Tokyo Lifestyle.
Full company description
Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. engages in the retail and wholesale of beauty, health, sundry, and other products in Japan, China, Hong Kong, the United States, Canada, Thailand, and the United Kingdom. The company sells its products under its flagship brand, Tokyo Lifestyle. It offers cosmetics comprising foundation, powder, concealer, makeup remover, eyeliner, eye shadow, brow powder, brow pencil, mascara, lip gloss, lipstick, and nail polish; skin care, consisting of facial cleanser, whitening products, sun block, moisturizer, facial mask, eye mask, eye gel, and exfoliating; and cosmetic applicators, including brush, puff, curler, hair iron, and shaver products. The company also provides shampoo, conditioner, and body wash; fragrance products consisting of perfume and cologne for women and men. In addition, the company provides facial wash, firming lotion, astringent, and moisturizer products for men; and lip balm, lotion, shampoo, soap, and essence oil for baby and children. Further, the company offers OTC drugs for the treatment of colds, headaches, stomach pain, cough, and eye strains, and others, as well as medical supplies and devices, including bandages, masks, thermometers, disinfectant sprays, eye masks, contact lens, and contact lens cleaners and solutions. Additionally, the company provides vitamins, minerals, fiber supplements, nutritional yeast, dietary products, and other nutritional supplements; bedding and bath, home décor, dining and tabletop, storage containers, car supplies, cleaning agent, and laundry supplies; spa supplies, clothing, formula milk, and diapers; and food, alcoholic beverages, and miscellaneous products. It also offers branded watches, perfumes, handbags, clothes, and jewelries, as well as Nintendo switch and Xbox series products. The company was formerly known as Yoshitsu Co., Ltd and changed its name to Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. in October 2024. Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tokyo Lifestyle Co reported revenue of $210M in FY2025 versus $225M in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was $6.6M in FY2025, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2021.
TKLF screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 223 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$93.19 | C$75.00 | -20% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $839.03 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $544.22 | $423.35 | -22% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 109.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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