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PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, (TLDN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 6.6T IDR

PT PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, TLDN · JK
Price545.00 IDR
Fair Value940.41 IDR
Upside+72.6%
Quality78/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range 640.12 IDR – 1,449 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 1,537 IDR to 940.41 IDR (−38.8%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +4.8% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 73% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (78/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (640.12 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (640.12 IDR to 1,449 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

824.52 IDR 376.54 IDR Fair Value 940.41 IDR Apr 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range 376.54 IDR – 824.52 IDR · fair‑value band 640.12 IDR – 1,449 IDR · the 545.00 IDR price screens below the 940.41 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, (TLDN) currently trades at 545.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 940.41 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 72.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, generated revenue of 5.5T IDR at a net margin of 19.4%. Revenue grew 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.8%. Net debt stands at 507B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 640.12 IDR (bear case) to 1,449 IDR (bull case); at 545.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 73%, TLDN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,307 IDR 2,496 IDR 4,742 IDR 80
Residual Income 572.16 IDR 727.73 IDR 3,824 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 709.44 IDR 1,156 IDR 1,763 IDR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,329 IDR 2,624 IDR 5,239 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 1,225 IDR 2,451 IDR 4,828 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 709.44 IDR 1,159 IDR 1,763 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,184 IDR 2,185 IDR 3,481 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 1,294 IDR 2,422 IDR 3,764 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 877.85 IDR 1,395 IDR 2,187 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1,223 IDR 2,185 IDR 3,729 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 1,299 IDR 2,367 IDR 3,982 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 581.23 IDR 3,141 IDR 4,354 IDR 54
Lynch FV 869.97 IDR 1,243 IDR 1,616 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 869.97 IDR 1,243 IDR 1,616 IDR 46
EPV 733.30 IDR 861.35 IDR 975.16 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 444.21 IDR 969.78 IDR 1,632 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 444.21 IDR 794.41 IDR 1,011 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,346 IDR 1,795 IDR 2,244 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 500.61 IDR 667.48 IDR 834.35 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 1,090 IDR 1,453 IDR 1,816 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,214 IDR 1,616 IDR 2,018 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 1,190 IDR 1,584 IDR 1,978 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 445.75 IDR 633.48 IDR 821.21 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 140.77 IDR 188.63 IDR 281.53 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,307 IDR 2,496 IDR 4,742 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 709.44 IDR 1,156 IDR 1,763 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 572.16 IDR 727.73 IDR 3,824 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 857.24 IDR 1,181 IDR 1,609 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,275 IDR 1,822 IDR 2,368 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (2,185 IDR) versus Asset-Based (188.63 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.5T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.8%
Net margin 19.4%
Return on equity 29.8%
Free cash flow 1.2T IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 6.6
More key figures
Operating margin 16.9%
EPS (TTM) 82.60 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -17.0%
Net debt 507B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 78/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 81
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the management of palm oil plantations, mills, and renewable energy businesses in Indonesia. The company manages and cultivates oil palm plantations; and transforms the fresh fruit bunches collected from its nucleus and plasma oil palm plantations into crude palm oil and palm kernel.

Full company description

PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the management of palm oil plantations, mills, and renewable energy businesses in Indonesia. The company manages and cultivates oil palm plantations; and transforms the fresh fruit bunches collected from its nucleus and plasma oil palm plantations into crude palm oil and palm kernel. It also generates renewable power utilizing its palm oil waste to third-party consumers through the transmission network. PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, reported revenue of 5.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1T IDR in FY2025, compounding +20.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.4T IDR
Latest YoY
+28.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.8%
Revenue +16.4%/yr
FY21 2.9T IDR
FY22 3.6T IDR
FY23 4.0T IDR
FY24 4.2T IDR
FY25 5.4T IDR
Net income +20.5%/yr
FY21 524B IDR
FY22 574B IDR
FY23 452B IDR
FY24 826B IDR
FY25 1.1T IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TLDN

Peer Group

Farm Products · 299 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 78 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +73% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 25
FUTURE 34 · sector 22
PAST 100 · sector 18
HEALTH 97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,150 IDR 6,818 IDR +116%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.90 THB 43.24 THB +97%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,805 IDR 3,087 IDR +71%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,350 IDR 6,420 IDR -13%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,260 IDR 6,974 IDR +209%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,890 IDR 610.80 IDR -68%
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS 860.00 IDR 402.24 IDR -53%
PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR 5,625 IDR 16,227 IDR +188%
PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG 1,320 IDR 2,696 IDR +104%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, (TLDN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 940.41 IDR versus a price of 545.00 IDR, about +73% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TLDN?
Our model-based fair value for PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, is 940.41 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 545.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of TLDN?
PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, (TLDN)?
PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.5T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TLDN?
The net profit margin of PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk, is about 19.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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