Trend Micro Inc ADR (TMICY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Trend Micro Inc ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Trend Micro Inc ADR
TMICY · US
A strong business, trading 24% below our fair value of $50.77.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Trend Micro Inc ADR is $50.77 per share against a price of $38.77, so the fair value sits 31% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $49.20 to $50.77 (+3.2%) since Aug 14, 2026. Share price −5.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (82/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $28.69 – $75.16 · fair‑value band $38.64 – $63.46 · the $38.77 price screens below the $50.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Analysis
Trend Micro Inc ADR (TMICY) currently trades at $38.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.77, implying the stock looks roughly 23.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $66.01 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the $38.77 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $15.32, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Trend Micro Inc ADR generated revenue of ¥282B at a net margin of 13.3%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥220B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: $38.64 (bear) to $63.46 (bull), the price of $38.77 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 31%, TMICY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($66.01) versus Asset-Based ($4.25). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 80 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Trend Micro Incorporated develops and sells security-related software for computers and the internet in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
Full company description
Trend Micro Incorporated develops and sells security-related software for computers and the internet in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It offers platforms, such as vision one platform, cyber risk exposure management, security operations, cloud security, endpoint security, network security, email and collaboration security, threat intelligence, identity, AI, data security. The company also provides managed XDR, incident response, and support services. It also provides security suits, maximum security, and internet security; scam check, deepfake inspector, and Ad blocker; ID protection and micro VPN; cleaner one pro and unzip one; antivirus+ security, mobile security, and houseCall; and services bundle support services. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Shinjuku, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trend Micro Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥289B in FY2025 versus ¥190B in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥36.2B in FY2025, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- TrendAI™ Surpasses $1 Billion in AWS Marketplace Sales as AI Security Co-Innovation with AWS Accelerates
- Trend Micro Reports Earnings Results for Q2 2026
- TrendAI™ Reports Nation-State Activity in H1 2026 APT Activity Roundup
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 371 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Trend Micro Inc ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $480.35 | $365.74 | −24% |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $158.78 | $117.84 | −26% |
| Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW | $333.26 | $36.50 | −89% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $156.29 | $61.46 | −61% |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $442.61 | $101.19 | −77% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | −36% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $105.26 | $71.79 | −32% |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $190.64 | $154.83 | −19% |
| Adyen N.V ADYEN | €1,007 | €707.53 | −30% |
| MongoDB, Inc MDB | $368.74 | $93.91 | −75% |
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