Trend Micro Incorporated (TMICY) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $4.5B
Trend Micro Incorporated
TMICY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +9.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $31.46 – $61.86 · fair‑value band $25.94 – $43.23 · the $38.36 price screens above the $34.59 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Trend Micro Incorporated (TMICY) currently trades at $38.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.59, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Trend Micro Incorporated generated revenue of $282B at a net margin of 13.3%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $220B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $25.94 (bear case) to $43.23 (bull case); at $38.36, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -10%, TMICY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Trend Micro Incorporated develops and sells security-related software for computers and the internet in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It offers platforms, such as vision one platform, cyber risk exposure management, security operations, cloud security, endpoint security, network security, email and collaboration security, threat intelligence, identity, AI, data security. The company also provides managed XDR, incident response, and support services. It also provides security suits, maximum security, and internet security; scam check, deepfake inspector, and Ad blocker; ID protection and micro VPN; cleaner one pro and unzip one; antivirus+ security, mobile security, and houseCall; and services bundle support services. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Shinjuku, Japan.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trend Micro Incorporated reported revenue of $289B in FY2025 versus $190B in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was $36.2B in FY2025, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Logistics Expansion: ITE adds 20,000 chassis to intermodal platform via NACPC deal
- TrendAI™ Integrates Claude Compliance API Into TrendAI Vision One™
- Messaging Security Gateway Market to Reach USD 11.52 Billion by 2031, Driven by Rising Cybersecurity Threats and Cloud Adoption | Valuates R
- GMI Cloud and Magna AI Partner to Expand Global Sovereign AI Infrastructure
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $381.87 | $274.17 | -28% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
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| Palo Alto Networks, Inc 5AP | €227.65 | €26.66 | -88% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $145.39 | $70.91 | -51% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €381.50 | €118.28 | -69% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$97.40 | A$75.22 | -23% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $95.61 | $4.99 | -95% |
| VeriSign, Inc VRSN34 | R$373.00 | R$268.24 | -28% |
| F5, Inc F1FI34 | R$540.22 | R$71.39 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.