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TMX Group (TMXXF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $9.4B

Price$32.90
Fair Value$13.74
Upside-58.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $10.55 – $17.18

Analysis

TMX Group (TMXXF) currently trades at $32.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.74 — implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

TMX Group Limited operates exchanges, markets, and clearinghouses primarily for capital markets in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Global Insights; Capital Formation; Derivatives Trading & Clearing; and Equities and Fixed Income Trading & Clearing. The company delivers equities and index data, as well as integrated data sets for the proprietary and third-party analytics to help clients in making trading and investment decisions; and provides solutions to European and global wholesale energy markets for price discovery, trade execution, post-trade transparency, and straight through processing. It also operates Toronto Stock Exchange, a national stock exchange for the senior equities market; TSX Venture Exchange, a national stock exchange for the public venture equity market; TSX Trust that provides corporate trust, registrar, transfer agency, and foreign exchange services; and Newsfile, a news dissemination an…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.