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Tokyo Plast International Limited (TOKYOPLAST) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹813M

TP Tokyo Plast International Limited TOKYOPLAST · NSE
Price₹79.90
Fair Value₹11.28
Upside-85.9%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹8.46 – ₹14.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −1.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹14.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹151.87 ₹58.56 Fair Value ₹11.28 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹58.56 – ₹151.87 · fair‑value band ₹8.46 – ₹14.10 · the ₹79.90 price screens above the ₹11.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tokyo Plast International Limited (TOKYOPLAST) currently trades at ₹79.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹11.28, implying the stock looks roughly 85.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tokyo Plast International Limited generated revenue of ₹793M at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 33.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. Net debt stands at ₹429M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹8.46 (bear case) to ₹14.10 (bull case); at ₹79.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -86%, TOKYOPLAST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹3.32 to ₹67.45). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹42.32 ₹38.31 ₹25.59 76
ROIC Compounder ₹23.40 ₹27.37 ₹30.68 72
Growth-Adj P/E ₹6.78 ₹9.68 ₹12.59 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹4.51 ₹12.01 ₹15.71 54
Lynch FV ₹2.33 ₹3.32 ₹4.32 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹2.33 ₹3.32 ₹4.32 46
EPV ₹23.40 ₹27.37 ₹30.68 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹8.46 ₹11.28 ₹14.10 63
P/S Multiple ₹8.46 ₹11.28 ₹14.10 58
P/B Multiple ₹8.46 ₹11.28 ₹14.10 55
EV/EBIT ₹37.43 ₹51.82 ₹66.21 53
EV/EBITDA ₹49.15 ₹67.45 ₹85.74 54
EV/Revenue ₹31.68 ₹47.71 ₹63.74 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹32.99 ₹44.21 ₹65.98 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹42.32 ₹38.31 ₹25.59 76
ROIC Compounder ₹23.40 ₹27.37 ₹30.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹6.78 ₹9.68 ₹12.59 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹44.21) versus Earnings-Based (₹3.32). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹793M
Revenue growth (YoY) +33.3%
Net margin 0.8%
Return on equity 1.0%
Free cash flow −₹165M FY2026
P/E ratio 121.1
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.6600
EPS growth (YoY) -89.7%
Net debt ₹429M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tokyo Plast International Limited manufactures and sells thermo food containers and coolers in India, the United States, Australia, and internationally. It offers plastic thermoware products; and insulated water jugs, cooler boxes, ice chest, insulated casseroles, and food warmers.

Full company description

Tokyo Plast International Limited manufactures and sells thermo food containers and coolers in India, the United States, Australia, and internationally. It offers plastic thermoware products; and insulated water jugs, cooler boxes, ice chest, insulated casseroles, and food warmers. Tokyo Plast International Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Tokyo Plast International Limited reported revenue of ₹793M in FY2026 versus ₹799M in FY2022, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.3M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹793M
Latest YoY
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Revenue −0.2%/yr
FY22 ₹799M
FY23 ₹755M
FY24 ₹664M
FY25 ₹725M
FY26 ₹793M
Net income
FY22 −₹1.5M
FY23 −₹1.2M
FY24 ₹10.0M
FY25 ₹13.1M
FY26 ₹6.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −16.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.8 pp

of which total revenue +1.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −10.7 pp
Tax rate −1.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TOKYOPLAST screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tokyo Plast International Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TOKYOPLAST

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 121.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 4 · sector 21
HEALTH 91 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 106.80 kr 125.82 +18%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥27.73 ¥20.16 -27%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 31.00 THB 16.12 THB -48%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 3,350 TWD 675.50 TWD -80%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,193 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 134.00 TWD 127.06 TWD -5%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹208.56 ₹161.42 -23%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹247.30 ₹111.65 -55%
Polyplex Corporation 524051 ₹1,211 ₹924.62 -24%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 21,650 KRW 31,473 KRW +45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tokyo Plast International Limited (TOKYOPLAST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹11.28 versus a price of ₹79.90, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TOKYOPLAST?
Our model-based fair value for Tokyo Plast International Limited is ₹11.28 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹79.90.
What is the quality score of TOKYOPLAST?
Tokyo Plast International Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tokyo Plast International Limited (TOKYOPLAST)?
Tokyo Plast International Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹793M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TOKYOPLAST?
The net profit margin of Tokyo Plast International Limited is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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