PT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk (TOTO) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 2.5T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 184% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (428.86 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (428.86 IDR to 853.20 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 132.20 IDR – 266.47 IDR · fair‑value band 428.86 IDR – 853.20 IDR · the 234.00 IDR price screens below the 663.85 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk (TOTO) currently trades at 234.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 663.85 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 183.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 2.3T IDR at a net margin of 13.7%. Revenue declined 16.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 203B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 428.86 IDR (bear case) to 853.20 IDR (bull case); at 234.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 184%, TOTO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (663.85 IDR) versus Asset-Based (166.75 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk manufactures and sells sanitary, fittings, kitchen systems, and other related products in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through the Sanitary, Fittings, Kitchen systems, and Electrical Appliances and Accessories segments.
Full company description
PT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk manufactures and sells sanitary, fittings, kitchen systems, and other related products in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through the Sanitary, Fittings, Kitchen systems, and Electrical Appliances and Accessories segments. The company offers neorest; washlet; toilet, lavatory, urinal, bidet, bathtub, sink; automatic, shower and bath, shower spray, faucet, and accessories, such as robe hook, floor drain, door handle, shelf, and tumbler holder; and supplementary parts, including stop valve and flexible hose. It sells its products under the TOTO brand. The company also offers supporting activities such as machinery and machine tools for metalworking, repair of machinery for special purposes, and calibration/metrology services. PT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk was founded in 1977 and is based in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 2.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.8T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 351B IDR in FY2025, compounding +22.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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