Temple & Webster Group (TPLWF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $478M
Temple & Webster Group
TPLWF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $1.66 to $1.49 (−10.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −12.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $3.35 – $16.25 · fair‑value band $1.12 – $1.87 · the $3.59 price screens above the $1.49 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.
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Temple & Webster Group (TPLWF) currently trades at $3.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.49, implying the stock looks roughly 58.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Temple & Webster Group generated revenue of $663M at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 19.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 102.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.12 (bear case) to $1.87 (bull case); at $3.59, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -59%, TPLWF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Temple & Webster Group Ltd engages in the online retail of furniture, homewares, and home improvement products through its online platform in Australia. It also provides procurement, styling, specialized delivery, and installation services. Temple & Webster Group Ltd was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in St Peters, Australia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Temple & Webster Group reported revenue of $601M in FY2025 versus $326M in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was $11.3M in FY2025, compounding −5.1%/yr from FY2021.
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| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $195.85 | $148.51 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.