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LendingTree, Inc (TREE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $533M

LI LendingTree, Inc logo LendingTree, Inc TREE · US
Price$32.13
Fair Value$28.78
Upside-10.4%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range $21.58 – $35.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −28.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from $21.58 (bear) to $35.97 (bull), base $28.78. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$225.96 $10.45 Fair Value $28.78 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.45 – $225.96 · fair‑value band $21.58 – $35.97 · the $32.13 price screens above the $28.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

LendingTree, Inc (TREE) currently trades at $32.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.78, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, LendingTree, Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue grew 36.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 88.6%. Net debt stands at $359M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.58 (bear case) to $35.97 (bull case); at $32.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -10%, TREE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $29.36 $70.06 $137.36 80
Residual Income $104.00 $216.05 $6,896 76
Rev-Margin DCF $32.32 $82.29 $155.14 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $120.22 $262.40 $518.34 31
5Y P/E Exit $62.86 $155.63 $273.29 38
10Y P/E Exit $50.81 $129.70 $262.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $73.74 $486.05 $680.43 54
Lynch FV $141.72 $202.46 $263.20 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2800 $0.5000 $0.6900 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2800 $0.4600 $0.5300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $105.73 $140.97 $176.22 63
P/B Multiple $21.58 $28.78 $35.97 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.28 $13.77 $20.55 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.36 $70.06 $137.36 80
Rev-Margin DCF $32.32 $82.29 $155.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $104.00 $216.05 $6,896 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($216.05) versus Dividend Discount ($0.4600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.5%
Net margin 15.0%
Return on equity 88.6%
Free cash flow $60.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.0
More key figures
Operating margin 9.8%
EPS (TTM) $12.92
EPS growth (YoY) +1,747%
Net debt $359M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 92
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

LendingTree, Inc., through its subsidiary, operates online consumer platform in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Home, Consumer, and Insurance. The Home segments offer purchase mortgage, refinance mortgage, and home equity loans and lines of credit.

Full company description

LendingTree, Inc., through its subsidiary, operates online consumer platform in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Home, Consumer, and Insurance. The Home segments offer purchase mortgage, refinance mortgage, and home equity loans and lines of credit. The Consumer segment provides credit cards; personal, small business, and auto loans; deposit accounts; and other credit products, such as debt settlement services. The Insurance segment includes information, tools, and access to insurance quote products, including automobile, home, life, and health and Medicare through which consumers are matched with insurance lead aggregators to obtain insurance offers and policies. This segment also offers QuoteWizard, a marketplace for insurance comparison; and ValuePenguin, a personal finance website that offers consumers objective analysis on various financial topics. The company was formerly known as Tree.com, Inc. and changed its name to LendingTree, Inc. in January 2015. LendingTree, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

LendingTree, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $151M in FY2025, compounding +21.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
+24.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+14.6%
Revenue +0.4%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $985M
FY23 $673M
FY24 $900M
FY25 $1.1B
Net income +21.6%/yr
FY21 $69.1M
FY22 −$188M
FY23 −$122M
FY24 −$41.7M
FY25 $151M

TREE screens 10% overvalued. Compare with ORIX Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LendingTree, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TREE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Financial Conglomerates · 56 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 89% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 37% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.35× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.86× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 19 · sector 11
FUTURE 100 · sector 38
PAST 100 · sector 32
HEALTH 32 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ORIX Corporation IX $40.31 $35.05 -13%
Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV ₹2,065 ₹682.29 -67%
Yuanta Financial Holding 2885 66.70 TWD 35.75 TWD -46%
China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 ¥12.94 ¥18.92 +46%
Guosen Securities Co 002736 ¥10.34 ¥17.96 +74%
CNPC Capital Company 000617 ¥6.80 ¥5.78 -15%
Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL ₹399.25 ₹176.15 -56%
Freedom Holding FRHC $152.69 $32.75 -79%
Voya Financial, Inc VOYA $98.49 $76.48 -22%
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 ¥7.77 ¥9.27 +19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is LendingTree, Inc (TREE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.78 versus a price of $32.13, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TREE?
Our model-based fair value for LendingTree, Inc is $28.78 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $32.13.
What is the quality score of TREE?
LendingTree, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of LendingTree, Inc (TREE)?
LendingTree, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TREE?
The net profit margin of LendingTree, Inc is about 15.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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