LendingTree, Inc (TREE) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $533M
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −28.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from $21.58 (bear) to $35.97 (bull), base $28.78. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.45 – $225.96 · fair‑value band $21.58 – $35.97 · the $32.13 price screens above the $28.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
LendingTree, Inc (TREE) currently trades at $32.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.78, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, LendingTree, Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue grew 36.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 88.6%. Net debt stands at $359M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $21.58 (bear case) to $35.97 (bull case); at $32.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -10%, TREE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($216.05) versus Dividend Discount ($0.4600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
LendingTree, Inc., through its subsidiary, operates online consumer platform in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Home, Consumer, and Insurance. The Home segments offer purchase mortgage, refinance mortgage, and home equity loans and lines of credit.
Full company description
LendingTree, Inc., through its subsidiary, operates online consumer platform in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Home, Consumer, and Insurance. The Home segments offer purchase mortgage, refinance mortgage, and home equity loans and lines of credit. The Consumer segment provides credit cards; personal, small business, and auto loans; deposit accounts; and other credit products, such as debt settlement services. The Insurance segment includes information, tools, and access to insurance quote products, including automobile, home, life, and health and Medicare through which consumers are matched with insurance lead aggregators to obtain insurance offers and policies. This segment also offers QuoteWizard, a marketplace for insurance comparison; and ValuePenguin, a personal finance website that offers consumers objective analysis on various financial topics. The company was formerly known as Tree.com, Inc. and changed its name to LendingTree, Inc. in January 2015. LendingTree, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
LendingTree, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $151M in FY2025, compounding +21.6%/yr from FY2021.
TREE screens 10% overvalued. Compare with ORIX Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- TREE Stock Down as Q2 Earnings Miss on Higher Costs, 2026 View Lowered
- Tree.com (TREE) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates
- LendingTree Set to Report Q2 Earnings: What Should Investors Watch?
Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 56 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $40.31 | $35.05 | -13% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,065 | ₹682.29 | -67% |
| Yuanta Financial Holding 2885 | 66.70 TWD | 35.75 TWD | -46% |
| China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 | ¥12.94 | ¥18.92 | +46% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.34 | ¥17.96 | +74% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.80 | ¥5.78 | -15% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹399.25 | ₹176.15 | -56% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $152.69 | $32.75 | -79% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $98.49 | $76.48 | -22% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.77 | ¥9.27 | +19% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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