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TrustCo Bank Corp (TRST) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $960M

TB TrustCo Bank Corp logo TrustCo Bank Corp TRST · US
Price$55.09
Fair Value$45.48
Upside-17.4%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 33.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.71% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range $34.11 – $56.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +3.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$57.78 $21.89 Fair Value $45.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.89 – $57.78 · fair‑value band $34.11 – $56.85 · the $55.09 price screens above the $45.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

TrustCo Bank Corp (TRST) currently trades at $55.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.48, implying the stock looks roughly 17.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, TrustCo Bank Corp generated revenue of $190M at a net margin of 33.3%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at $106M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $34.11 (bear case) to $56.85 (bull case); at $55.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -17%, TRST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $31.52 $33.54 $36.84 76
P/E Multiple $34.11 $45.48 $56.85 63
P/B Multiple $41.25 $55.01 $68.76 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $34.11 $45.48 $56.85 63
P/B Multiple $41.25 $55.01 $68.76 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $19.65 $26.32 $39.29 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $31.52 $33.54 $36.84 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($45.48) versus Asset-Based ($26.32). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $190M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin 33.3%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow $45.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.4
More key figures
Operating margin 47.0%
EPS (TTM) $3.41
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.3%
Net debt $106M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TrustCo Bank Corp NY operates as the holding company for Trustco Bank that provides personal and business banking services to individuals and businesses. It accepts deposits; and offers loans and investments.

Full company description

TrustCo Bank Corp NY operates as the holding company for Trustco Bank that provides personal and business banking services to individuals and businesses. It accepts deposits; and offers loans and investments. The company also operates as a real estate investment trust that acquires, holds, and manages real estate mortgage assets, including residential mortgage loans and mortgage-backed securities. In addition, it operates as the executor of estates and trustee of personal trusts; provides asset and wealth management, estate planning and related advice, and custodial services; and acts as trustee for various types of employee benefit plans, and corporate pension and profit-sharing trusts. The company operates through banking offices in Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Montgomery, Orange, Putnam, Rensselaer, Rockland, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie, Ulster, Warren, Washington, and Westchester counties of New York; Brevard, Charlotte, Flagler, Hillsborough, Indian River, Lake, Manatee, Martin, Orange, Osceola, Palm Beach, Polk, Sarasota, Seminole, and Volusia counties in Florida; Bennington County in Vermont; Berkshire County in Massachusetts; and Bergen County in New Jersey, as well as automatic teller machines. TrustCo Bank Corp NY was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Glenville, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TrustCo Bank Corp reported revenue of $278M in FY2025 versus $186M in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was $61.1M in FY2025, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$278M
Latest YoY
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+3.5%
Revenue +10.6%/yr
FY21 $186M
FY22 $206M
FY23 $245M
FY24 $263M
FY25 $278M
Net income −0.2%/yr
FY21 $61.5M
FY22 $75.2M
FY23 $58.6M
FY24 $48.8M
FY25 $61.1M

TRST screens 17% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TrustCo Bank Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRST

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 47% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 21.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.63× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 39
FUTURE 40 · sector 44
PAST 37 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TrustCo Bank Corp (TRST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.48 versus a price of $55.09, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRST?
Our model-based fair value for TrustCo Bank Corp is $45.48 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $55.09.
What is the quality score of TRST?
TrustCo Bank Corp has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TrustCo Bank Corp (TRST)?
TrustCo Bank Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $190M (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TRST?
The net profit margin of TrustCo Bank Corp is about 33.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TrustCo Bank Corp pay a dividend?
TrustCo Bank Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.95% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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