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TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $256M

Price$0.7870
Fair Value$0.3300
Upside-58.1%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.2000 – $0.5000

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

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Analysis

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) currently trades at $0.7870, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3300 — implying the stock looks roughly 58.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

TRX Gold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral property in Tanzania. Its flagship project is the Buckreef Gold Project in Tanzania. The company was formerly known as Tanzanian Gold Corporation and changed its name to TRX Gold Corporation in May 2022. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Oakville, Canada.

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Frequently asked questions

Is TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3300 versus a price of $0.7870 — about −58% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TRX?
Our 21-model fair value for TRX Gold Corporation is $0.3300 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7870.
What is the quality score of TRX?
TRX Gold Corporation has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.