TRZ.TO (TRZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$95.6M (≈ $68.8M) · ISIN CA89351T4019
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from C$2.90 to C$2.87 (−1.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −2.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 24% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (C$1.24 to C$3.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$1.44 – C$7.26 · fair‑value band C$1.24 – C$3.59 · the C$2.19 price screens below the C$2.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
TRZ.TO (TRZ) currently trades at C$2.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.87, implying the stock looks roughly 31.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TRZ.TO generated revenue of C$3.4B at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. Net debt stands at C$961M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$1.24 (bear case) to C$3.59 (bull case); at C$2.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 31%, TRZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 10 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 5.60 CAD per share, which is 194.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$6.14) versus Economic Profit (C$0.3910). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Transat A.T. Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the leisure travel business in the Americas and the Transatlantic. It offers vacation packages, hotel stays, and air travel services under the Transat and Air Transat brands.
Full company description
Transat A.T. Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the leisure travel business in the Americas and the Transatlantic. It offers vacation packages, hotel stays, and air travel services under the Transat and Air Transat brands. The company also provides passenger air transportation services under the Air Transat brand; outgoing tours; and destination services, including hospitality and representation, passenger transfers, excursions, tours, sports, and other activities, as well as specialty services, such as destination weddings and teambuilding, etc. In addition, it engages in the retail distribution business, which includes providing advice to travelers and sells consumer products. As of October 31, 2025, the company's fleet consists of 16 Airbus A330s, 19 Airbus A321LRs, and 8 Airbus A321ceos fleets. Transat A.T. Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TRZ.TO reported revenue of C$3.4B in FY2025 versus C$125M in FY2021, a compound +128.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$242M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Travel Services · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $202.56 | $152.94 | -24% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $184.40 | $85.66 | -54% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $290.00 | $215.19 | -26% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $104.19 | $43.68 | -58% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $25.59 | $31.36 | +23% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $325.57 | $248.63 | -24% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $45.14 | $89.35 | +98% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $17.09 | $20.28 | +19% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.44 | $5.04 | -47% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $73.57 | $26.57 | -64% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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