Transat A.T. Inc (TRZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$95.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from C$100.05 to C$2.97 (−97.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range C$2.11 – C$3.25 · fair‑value band C$1.28 – C$3.71 · the C$2.31 price screens below the C$2.97 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Transat A.T. Inc (TRZ) currently trades at C$2.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.97, implying the stock looks roughly 28.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Transat A.T. Inc generated revenue of C$3.4B at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. Net debt stands at C$961M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$1.28 (bear case) to C$3.71 (bull case); at C$2.31, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 29%, TRZ screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Transat A.T. Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the leisure travel business in the Americas and the Transatlantic. It offers vacation packages, hotel stays, and air travel services under the Transat and Air Transat brands. The company also provides passenger air transportation services under the Air Transat brand; outgoing tours; and destination services, including hospitality and representation, passenger transfers, excursions, tours, sports, and other activities, as well as specialty services, such as destination weddings and teambuilding, etc. In addition, it engages in the retail distribution business, which includes providing advice to travelers and sells consumer products. As of October 31, 2025, the company's fleet consists of 16 Airbus A330s, 19 Airbus A321LRs, and 8 Airbus A321ceos fleets. Transat A.T. Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Transat A.T. Inc reported revenue of C$3.4B in FY2025 versus C$125M in FY2021, a compound +128.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$242M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $167.07 | $164.16 | -2% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $133.72 | $78.47 | -41% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $280.00 | $128.75 | -54% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $103.05 | $61.24 | -41% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $27.85 | $17.98 | -35% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $45.50 | $88.51 | +95% |
| Expedia Group EXGR34 | R$610.70 | R$124.32 | -80% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings N1CL34 | R$91.20 | R$73.84 | -19% |
| Tongcheng Travel Holdings TNGCF | $2.80 | $3.26 | +16% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.39 | $4.19 | -55% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.