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TSGYO Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TR · Market cap 3.6B TRY

T TSGYO TSGYO · IS
Price5.61 TRY
Fair Value1.64 TRY
Upside-70.8%
Quality44/100
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 26/100
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Evidence: High Range 0.9800 TRY – 2.39 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −15.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and the price sits another 71% above our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.39 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.9800 TRY to 2.39 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

19.83 TRY 2.03 TRY Fair Value 1.64 TRY Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.03 TRY – 19.83 TRY · fair‑value band 0.9800 TRY – 2.39 TRY · the 5.61 TRY price screens above the 1.64 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

TSGYO (TSGYO) currently trades at 5.61 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.64 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, TSGYO generated revenue of 249M TRY at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.2%. Net debt stands at 123M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.9800 TRY (bear case) to 2.39 TRY (bull case); at 5.61 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -71%, TSGYO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2.91 TRY 5.42 TRY 9.47 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2.19 TRY 3.63 TRY 6.67 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 1.44 TRY 1.64 TRY 1.81 TRY 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3.11 TRY 4.70 TRY 9.67 TRY 38
Owner Earnings 1.01 TRY 2.06 TRY 4.18 TRY 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1.99 TRY 3.19 TRY 5.66 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.19 TRY 3.59 TRY 6.30 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 1.57 TRY 2.78 TRY 4.35 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 2.30 TRY 4.48 TRY 5.75 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.49 TRY 4.90 TRY 8.90 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 2.06 TRY 3.56 TRY 5.86 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.3499 TRY 2.49 TRY 3.50 TRY 54
Lynch FV 1.25 TRY 1.79 TRY 2.32 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 1.25 TRY 1.79 TRY 2.32 TRY 46
EPV 1.44 TRY 1.64 TRY 1.81 TRY 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.7872 TRY 1.05 TRY 1.31 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 0.6779 TRY 0.8965 TRY 1.12 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 0.6779 TRY 0.8965 TRY 1.12 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 2.27 TRY 3.00 TRY 3.70 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 1.77 TRY 2.32 TRY 2.86 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 1.42 TRY 1.97 TRY 2.54 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10.43 TRY 13.97 TRY 20.86 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.91 TRY 5.42 TRY 9.47 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2.19 TRY 3.63 TRY 6.67 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.71 TRY 12.42 TRY 8.33 TRY 61
ROIC Compounder 1.44 TRY 1.64 TRY 1.81 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.62 TRY 2.32 TRY 3.00 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (13.97 TRY) versus Multiples (1.05 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 249M TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.8%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 0.2%
Free cash flow 55.3M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 40.1
More key figures
Operating margin 10.2%
EPS (TTM) 0.1400 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -85.6%
Net debt 123M TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

TSKB Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S invests in real estate projects, capital market instruments backed by real estate, real estate development projects, and other capital market instruments. Its real estate development projects include shopping centers, hotels, office buildings, and others.

Full company description

TSKB Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S invests in real estate projects, capital market instruments backed by real estate, real estate development projects, and other capital market instruments. Its real estate development projects include shopping centers, hotels, office buildings, and others. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Beyoglu, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TSGYO reported revenue of 219M TRY in FY2025 versus 30.1M TRY in FY2021, a compound +64.1%/yr. Reported net income was 15.6M TRY in FY2025, compounding −40.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
219M TRY
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+68.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+57.3%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+24.7%
Revenue +64.1%/yr
FY21 30.1M TRY
FY22 45.6M TRY
FY23 152M TRY
FY24 211M TRY
FY25 219M TRY
Net income −40.5%/yr
FY21 125M TRY
FY22 1.1B TRY
FY23 517M TRY
FY24 −29.4M TRY
FY25 15.6M TRY

TSGYO sits 71% above fair value. Compare with MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TSGYO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSGYO

Peer Group

REIT - Office · 80 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Office median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 35
FUTURE 0 / 0
PAST 1 / 5
HEALTH 100 / 70
DIVIDEND 0 / 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Office stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A MRL €15.23 €6.46 -58%
BXP, Inc BXP $69.11 $53.27 -23%
Vornado Realty Trust VNORP $51.75 $41.59 -20%
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc ARE $50.12 $59.48 +19%
Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc HPP $15.38 $4.60 -70%
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust N2IU 1.29 SGD 1.14 SGD -12%
Cousins Properties Incorporated CUZ $32.15 $17.62 -45%
Kilroy Realty Corporation KRC $39.42 $40.37 +2%
Keppel DC REIT AJBU 2.25 SGD 1.68 SGD -25%
DEXUS DXS A$5.64 A$4.49 -20%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TSGYO overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.64 TRY versus a price of 5.61 TRY, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TSGYO?
Our model-based fair value for TSGYO is 1.64 TRY (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5.61 TRY.
What is the quality score of TSGYO?
TSGYO has a Quality Score of 44/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of TSGYO?
TSGYO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 249M TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TSGYO?
The net profit margin of TSGYO is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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