Toshiba Machine Co Ltd ADR (TSHMY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Toshiba Machine Co Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Toshiba Machine Co Ltd ADR
TSHMY · US
Below-average quality, trading 17% below our fair value of $13.51.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Toshiba Machine Co Ltd ADR is $13.51 per share against a price of $11.17, so the fair value sits 21% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $13.09 to $13.51 (+3.2%) since Aug 22, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.99 – $17.10 · fair‑value band $11.02 – $15.99 · the $11.17 price screens below the $13.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Analysis
Toshiba Machine Co Ltd ADR (TSHMY) currently trades at $11.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.51, implying the stock looks roughly 17.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $17.76 per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the $11.17 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.84, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Toshiba Machine Co Ltd ADR generated revenue of ¥133B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 14.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥27.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: $11.02 (bear) to $15.99 (bull), the price of $11.17 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 21%, TSHMY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($17.76) versus Earnings-Based ($2.84). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Shibaura Machine Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of various machines in Japan and internationally. It operates through three segments: Molding Machinery, Machine Tools, and Control Systems.
Full company description
Shibaura Machine Co.,Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of various machines in Japan and internationally. It operates through three segments: Molding Machinery, Machine Tools, and Control Systems. The company offers injection molding machines, die-casting machines, extrusion machines, nano processing systems, machine tools, Board Type PLC, servo motors, industrial robots, and IoT+m products, as well as provides additive manufacturing systems and engineering solutions. It also provides high precision machine tools, micro pattern imprinting machines, high precision glass mold press machines, and electronic control system. In addition, the company provides machine tools that include double column type machining centers, horizontal boring machines, vertical lathes, and other machine tools. Furthur, it is involved in the castings, heat treatment, and machining work activities. The company was formerly known as Toshiba Machine Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shibaura Machine Co.,Ltd. in April 2020. Shibaura Machine Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Toshiba Machine Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥141B in FY2026 versus ¥108B in FY2022, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2026, compounding −26.5%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +3.2 % · buybacks/dilution +2.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 794 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $941.84 | $131.95 | −86% |
| SIE SIE | €272.65 | €139.77 | −49% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $410.85 | $168.65 | −59% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $962.59 | $398.69 | −59% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 206.60 | kr 112.59 | −46% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $564.40 | $348.94 | −38% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $270.12 | $145.84 | −46% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $152.82 | $58.44 | −62% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $236.25 | $125.80 | −47% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $417.53 | $125.76 | −70% |
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