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TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 26, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU

TF Thin data Jun 26, 2026

TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK]

TSK · AU

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value A$0.1463 · Strongly undervalued (+128.6%)
!Quality 31/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −73.1 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (2/5)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.3650 A$0.0340 Fair Value A$0.1463 Jun 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range A$0.0340 – A$0.3650 · fair‑value band A$0.1203 – A$0.1723 · the A$0.0640 price screens below the A$0.1463 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Company profile

Tusker Minerals Ltd engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral and metal projects in Southern Malawi. The company primarily explores for heavy rare earth elements, niobium, copper, and nickel. It holds 100% interests in the Machinga, Salambidwe, Ngala Hill, Tundulu, Mzimba, and the Karonga projects located in Malawi.

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Tusker Minerals Ltd engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral and metal projects in Southern Malawi. The company primarily explores for heavy rare earth elements, niobium, copper, and nickel. It holds 100% interests in the Machinga, Salambidwe, Ngala Hill, Tundulu, Mzimba, and the Karonga projects located in Malawi. Tusker Minerals Ltd was formerly known as DY6 Metals Limited. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK) currently trades at A$0.0640, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1463, implying the stock looks roughly 56.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.1203 (bear) to A$0.1723 (bull), the price of A$0.0640 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] reported revenue of A$35.2K in FY2025 versus A$25.0M in FY2020, a compound −73.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$9.8M (≈ $6.8M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0500 · Return on equity −35.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5,473% · Operating margin −4,056% · Revenue (TTM) A$30.8K · Revenue growth (YoY) +21.8% · Free cash flow −A$1.6K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 129%, TSK screens cheaper than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 3
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−99.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−89.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−73.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −32.8% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.0% (2020) → −5,358.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 441 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/3 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −18.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 21.8% · Above median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 56
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.10 SAR 67.21 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.08 ¥19.15 +12%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹588.95 ₹647.85 +10%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥57.18 ¥29.56 −48%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Boliden AB BOL kr 521.00 kr 464.45 −11%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥35.19 ¥38.71 +10%
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$12.06 C$4.46 −63%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥46.90 ¥23.62 −50%
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹266.35 ₹655.92 +146%

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TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] · Fair Value
A$0.1463 +56%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSK

Frequently asked questions

Is TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1463 versus a price of A$0.0640, about +129% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TSK?
Our model-based fair value for TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] is A$0.1463 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0640.
What is the quality score of TSK?
TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1463 (as of Jun 26, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1203, optimistic scenario A$0.1723. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1463, about +129% upside versus a price of A$0.0640 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1203, optimistic scenario A$0.1723. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$30.8K (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] it is A$0.1463 per share (as of Jun 26, 2026), against a price of A$0.0640. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 26, 2026, TSK trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0640, fair value A$0.1463, a gap of about +129% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TSK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0640); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1463). For TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] the two are A$0.0823 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] worth?
The market values TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] at about A$9.8M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 26, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0640; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1463 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TSK?
Our models span a range for TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK]: cautious scenario A$0.1203, base A$0.1463, optimistic A$0.1723 per share (as of Jun 26, 2026, price A$0.0640). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
Balance-sheet figures for TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (as of Jun 26, 2026): return on equity −35.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TSK from its 52-week high?
TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] trades at A$0.0640, about 73% below its 52-week high of A$0.2400 and 5% above the low of A$0.0610 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1463 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK]?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 26, 2026: price A$0.0640, calculated fair value A$0.1463 (+129%), Quality Score 31/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TSK calculated?
We run TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1463, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] currently trades 56 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was A$0.0640. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1463, about +129% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.1203). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK]

How large is the market capitalisation of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
The market capitalisation of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] is A$9.8M (≈ $6.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
Earnings per share at TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] are A$−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] is −35.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] is −5,473% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
The operating margin of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] is −4,056% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK)?
Revenue at TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] is growing +21.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −89.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK) generate?
The free cash flow of TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] is −A$1.6K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] (TSK) hold?
TUSKERMIN FPO [TSK] holds more cash than debt, A$1.5K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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