Cleanaway Waste Management Limited (TSPCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Cleanaway Waste Management Limited $0.92, price $1.85, upside -50.3%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Cleanaway Waste Management Limited
TSPCF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.30 – $2.24 · fair‑value band $0.6500 – $1.31 · the $1.85 price screens above the $0.9200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited provides waste management, industrial, and environmental services in Australia.
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Cleanaway Waste Management Limited provides waste management, industrial, and environmental services in Australia. It engages in the collection, recovery, and disposal of solid waste, including putrescible waste, inert waste, household waste and recovered waste processed through the resource recovery and recycling facilities, transfer stations, and landfills; and provision of safe treatment and disposal of health-related waste services, including sharps management, medical and pharmaceutical waste, and healthcare hazardous waste and quarantine waste to the health sector. The company also collects, treats, processes, refines, recycles, and destructs hazardous and non-hazardous liquids, hydrocarbons and chemical waste, specialized product destruction, and hazardous waste; and offers various services, such as vacuum loading, high pressure cleaning, pipeline maintenance, and non-destructive digging to the resources, oil and gas, infrastructure, and industrial markets. In addition, it offers commercial and industrial, municipal, and residential collection services, including general waste, recyclables, construction, and demolition waste, as well as medical and washroom services; owns and manages waste transfer stations, resource recovery and recycling facilities, secure product destruction, quarantine treatment operations and landfills; and sells recovered paper, cardboard, metals, and plastics. Further, the company collects, treats, processes, and recycles industrial waste, grease trap waste, oily water, and used mineral and cooking oils; provides industrial cleaning, vacuum tanker loading, site remediation, sludge management, parts washing, and high pressure cleaning services; refines and recycles used mineral oils to produce fuel and base oils; and generates and sells electricity. Cleanaway Waste Management Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Stock analysis
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited (TSPCF) currently trades at $1.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9200, 50.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.9300 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.85 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.3400, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.6500 (bear) to $1.31 (bull), the price of $1.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited reported revenue of A$3.8B in FY2025 versus A$2.4B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$157M in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.1B · P/E ratio 46.3 · P/S ratio 1.92 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −50%, TSPCF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
TSPCF screens overvalued: fair value 50% below the price. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Earlier news
- Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd (TSPCF) (FY 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Underlying ...
- EQT offers $4.9B to acquire Australia’s Cleanaway Waste
- Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd (TSPCF) (Q1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue ...
Compare Cleanaway Waste Management Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 151 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $203.92 | $224.31 | +10% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $211.92 | $128.63 | −39% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | $150.66 | $165.73 | +10% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €30.73 | €20.32 | −34% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $313.04 | $155.54 | −50% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | $40.43 | $34.29 | −15% |
| Umicore SA UMI | €21.40 | €25.28 | +18% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €10.72 | €7.30 | −32% |
| Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST | $82.24 | $14.82 | −82% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.12 | ¥5.27 | −14% |
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Key figures of Cleanaway Waste Management Limited
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