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Cleanaway Waste Management Limited (TSPCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $3.5B

CW Cleanaway Waste Management Limited logo Cleanaway Waste Management Limited TSPCF · US
Price$1.65
Fair Value$0.7600
Upside-53.9%
Quality46/100
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Evidence: High Range $0.6300 – $1.26 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $0.7500 to $0.7600 (+1.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$2.13 $1.38 Fair Value $0.7600 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $1.38 – $2.13 · fair‑value band $0.6300 – $1.26 · the $1.65 price screens above the $0.7600 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Cleanaway Waste Management Limited (TSPCF) currently trades at $1.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7600, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cleanaway Waste Management Limited generated revenue of $4.1B at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at $1.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6300 (bear case) to $1.26 (bull case); at $1.65, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -54%, TSPCF screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.7%
Net margin 2.9%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow $122M FY2025
P/E ratio 39.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.0400
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -49.2%
Net debt $1.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Cleanaway Waste Management Limited provides waste management, industrial, and environmental services in Australia. It engages in the collection, recovery, and disposal of solid waste, including putrescible waste, inert waste, household waste and recovered waste processed through the resource recovery and recycling facilities, transfer stations, and landfills; and provision of safe treatment and disposal of health-related waste services, including sharps management, medical and pharmaceutical waste, and healthcare hazardous waste and quarantine waste to the health sector. The company also collects, treats, processes, refines, recycles, and destructs hazardous and non-hazardous liquids, hydrocarbons and chemical waste, specialized product destruction, and hazardous waste; and offers various services, such as vacuum loading, high pressure cleaning, pipeline maintenance, and non-destructive digging to the resources, oil and gas, infrastructure, and industrial markets. In addition, it …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cleanaway Waste Management Limited reported revenue of $3.8B in FY2025 versus $2.4B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $157M in FY2025, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY21 $2.4B
FY22 $3.0B
FY23 $3.5B
FY24 $3.8B
FY25 $3.8B
Net income +1.9%/yr
FY21 $145M
FY22 $78.9M
FY23 $21.6M
FY24 $157M
FY25 $157M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cleanaway Waste Management Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TSPCF

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc UWS €194.65 €83.25 -57%
Republic Services, Inc R1SG34 R$531.83 R$279.02 -48%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$221.68 C$87.12 -61%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €36.02 €24.50 -32%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $286.90 $84.03 -71%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$49.51 C$91.26 +84%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €11.78 €8.02 -32%
Umicore SA UMI €22.08 €25.29 +15%
GEM Co 002340 ¥7.88 ¥5.27 -33%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥16.14 ¥21.94 +36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cleanaway Waste Management Limited (TSPCF) undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7600 versus a price of $1.65, about −54% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TSPCF?
Our model-based fair value for Cleanaway Waste Management Limited is $0.7600 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.65.
What is the quality score of TSPCF?
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Cleanaway Waste Management Limited (TSPCF)?
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TSPCF?
The net profit margin of Cleanaway Waste Management Limited is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cleanaway Waste Management Limited pay a dividend?
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.