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Treasury Wine Estates Limited (TSRYY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.6B

Price$3.17
Fair Value$4.71
Upside+48.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $3.45 – $7.20

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Treasury Wine Estates Limited (TSRYY) currently trades at $3.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.71 — implying the stock looks roughly 48.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Treasury Wine Estates Limited operates as a wine company in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company engages in the viticulture and winemaking, as well as marketing, sale, and distribution of wine. Its wine portfolio includes brands, such as Penfolds, DAOU Vineyards, 19 Crimes, Drop of Sunshine, Frank Family Vineyards, Wolf Blass, St Hubert's The Stag, Matua, Lindeman's, Squealing Pig, Blossom Hill, Pepper Jack, Wynns, Seppelt, Beringer, Etude, Sterling Vineyards, Beaulieu Vineyard, Stags' Leap, Beringer Bros, and Castello di Gabbiano. The company also provides contract bottling services to third parties. In addition, it is involved in the sale of grape and bulk wine, as well as ownership and leasing of vineyards. The company markets and sells its products to distributors, wholesalers, retail chains, independent retailers, and on-premises outlets, as well as directly to consumers. Treasury Wine Estates Limited was founded in 1843 and is head…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Treasury Wine Estates Limited (TSRYY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.71 versus a price of $3.17 — about +49% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TSRYY?
Our 21-model fair value for Treasury Wine Estates Limited is $4.71 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.17.
What is the quality score of TSRYY?
Treasury Wine Estates Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.