Trisura Group (TSU) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$2.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price −8.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$29.28 – C$49.62 · fair‑value band C$29.36 – C$48.93 · the C$41.60 price screens above the C$39.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Trisura Group (TSU) currently trades at C$41.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$39.15, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Trisura Group generated revenue of C$3.2B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$131M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$29.36 (bear case) to C$48.93 (bull case); at C$41.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at -6%, TSU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (C$27.40) versus Dividend Discount (C$0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Trisura Group Ltd., a specialty insurance company, operates in the surety, warranty, corporate insurance, and program and fronting businesses in Canada and the United States. The company operates in two segments: Trisura Specialty and Trisura US Programs.
Full company description
Trisura Group Ltd., a specialty insurance company, operates in the surety, warranty, corporate insurance, and program and fronting businesses in Canada and the United States. The company operates in two segments: Trisura Specialty and Trisura US Programs. It offers contract surety bonds, such as performance and labour and material payment bonds for construction industry; commercial surety bonds, including license and permit, tax and excise, and fiduciary bonds; Developer surety bonds, comprising bonds to secure real estate developers; and new home warranty insurance for residential homes. The company also provides directors' and officers' insurance for private, and non-profit and public enterprises; professional liability insurance for both enterprises and professionals; technology and cyber liability insurance for enterprises; commercial package insurance for both enterprises and professionals; and fidelity insurance for both commercial enterprises and financial institutions. Trisura Group Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trisura Group reported revenue of C$868M in FY2025 versus C$350M in FY2021, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was C$142M in FY2025, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Insurance - Specialty · 32 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fidelity National Financial, Inc FNF | $49.53 | $29.08 | -41% |
| AXIS Capital Holdings AXS | $114.62 | $177.90 | +55% |
| First American Financial Corporation FAF | $70.06 | $79.33 | +13% |
| Enact Holdings ACT | $46.52 | $62.79 | +35% |
| MGIC Investment Corporation MTG | $29.47 | $45.39 | +54% |
| Essent Group ESNT | $66.71 | $97.33 | +46% |
| Radian Group RDN | $39.14 | $56.98 | +46% |
| Protector Forsikring ASA PROT | kr 485.80 | kr 418.04 | -14% |
| Assured Guaranty Ltd AGO | $82.49 | $147.67 | +79% |
| NMI Holdings NMIH | $41.16 | $66.55 | +62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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