TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of TS TECH Co., Ltd. $10.14, price $12.60, upside -19.6%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range $10.10 – $12.60 · fair‑value band $7.61 – $12.67 · the $12.60 price screens above the $10.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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TS TECH Co., Ltd. engages in development, manufacture, and sale of seats for automobiles. The company offers interior trims and components for automobiles; motorcycle seats; and motorcycle parts and accessories. It also provides front seats, mid seats, rear seats, and door trims for automobiles; and leisure vehicle seats and medical chairs.
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TS TECH Co., Ltd. engages in development, manufacture, and sale of seats for automobiles. The company offers interior trims and components for automobiles; motorcycle seats; and motorcycle parts and accessories. It also provides front seats, mid seats, rear seats, and door trims for automobiles; and leisure vehicle seats and medical chairs. The company operates in Japan, America, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, China, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, India, Indonesia, Hungary, and Poland. The company was formerly known as Tokyo Seat Co., Ltd. and changed its name to TS TECH Co., Ltd. in October 1997. TS TECH Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Asaka, Japan.
Stock analysis
TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF) currently trades at $12.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.14, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $11.20 per share, and 3 of the 21 models we run sit above the $12.60 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $5.40, and 18 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $7.61 (bear) to $12.67 (bull), the price of $12.60 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
TS TECH Co., Ltd. reported revenue of ¥442B in FY2026 versus ¥350B in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥7.1B in FY2026, compounding −12.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $1.5B · P/E ratio 27.4 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) $0.4600 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −20%, TTCAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.61Fair Value $10.14Bull $12.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 2%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+69.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +65.7% a year for the price and −0.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 683 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−19.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.0% · Below median
Return on assets1.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.14 versus a price of $12.60, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTCAF?
Our model-based fair value for TS TECH Co., Ltd. is $10.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.60.
What is the quality score of TTCAF?
TS TECH Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.61, optimistic scenario $12.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TS TECH Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.14, about −20% upside versus a price of $12.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.61, optimistic scenario $12.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
TS TECH Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥442B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does TS TECH Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
TS TECH Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TS TECH Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +69.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TTCAF use?
Our models discount TS TECH Co., Ltd. at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TS TECH Co., Ltd. that is +69.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TS TECH Co., Ltd. grew +5.0 % a year. The price currently implies +69.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TS TECH Co., Ltd. (+69.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.17 %: that much free cash flow TS TECH Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TS TECH Co., Ltd. it is $10.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $12.60. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TS TECH Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TTCAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.60, fair value $10.14, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTCAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.14). For TS TECH Co., Ltd. the two are $2.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TS TECH Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values TS TECH Co., Ltd. at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $12.60; our models calculate a fair value of $10.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTCAF?
Our models span a range for TS TECH Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario $7.61, base $10.14, optimistic $12.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $12.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TTCAF?
TS TECH Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for TS TECH Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTCAF from its 52-week high?
TS TECH Co., Ltd. trades at $12.60, at its 52-week high of $12.60 and 7% above the low of $11.77 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TS TECH Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TS TECH Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $12.60, calculated fair value $10.14 (−20%), Quality Score 61/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTCAF calculated?
We run TS TECH Co., Ltd. through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. TS TECH Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $12.60. Our model-based fair value is $10.14, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TS TECH Co., Ltd. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of TS TECH Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
The market capitalisation of TS TECH Co., Ltd. is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TS TECH Co., Ltd. is 0.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
Earnings per share at TS TECH Co., Ltd. are $0.4600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
The dividend yield of TS TECH Co., Ltd. is 4.9% (payout 135%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
The net margin of TS TECH Co., Ltd. is 1.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TS TECH Co., Ltd. is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TS TECH Co., Ltd. is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
The operating margin of TS TECH Co., Ltd. is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
Revenue at TS TECH Co., Ltd. is growing +9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TS TECH Co., Ltd. (TTCAF)?
Earnings per share at TS TECH Co., Ltd. are growing +388% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026