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Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Titan Minerals Ltd A$0.06, price A$0.55, upside -89.0%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000TTM8

TM Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Titan Minerals Ltd

TTM · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +31.5 %/yr in USD)
Fair value A$0.0600 · Strongly overvalued (−89.0%)
Quality 30/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 8/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.28 A$0.1900 Fair Value A$0.0600 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1900 – A$1.28 · fair‑value band A$0.0400 – A$0.0700 · the A$0.5450 price screens above the A$0.0600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Titan Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Ecuador. It explores for gold, silver, and copper deposits. The company's flagship project is the 100% held Dynasty Gold Project that consists of five concessions covering an area of 139 square kilometers located in the Loja Province in southern Ecuador.

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Titan Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Ecuador. It explores for gold, silver, and copper deposits. The company's flagship project is the 100% held Dynasty Gold Project that consists of five concessions covering an area of 139 square kilometers located in the Loja Province in southern Ecuador. Titan Minerals Limited is based in Subiaco, Australia.

Stock analysis

Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM) currently trades at A$0.5450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0600, 89.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0400 (bear) to A$0.0700 (bull), the price of A$0.5450 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Titan Minerals Ltd reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $6.0M in FY2020. Reported net income was −$6.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$156M (≈ $108M) · P/S ratio 27.2 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.8% · Revenue (TTM) A$6.0M · Revenue growth (YoY) −37.6% · EPS growth (YoY) −67.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −89%, TTM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0400 Fair Value A$0.0600 Bull A$0.0700
Price A$0.5450 · Upside -89.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.2600 A$0.3400 A$0.5100 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.2600 A$0.3400 A$0.5100 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 2
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−57.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.5%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−446.0% (2015) → −284.3% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TTM screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 217 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −89.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −37.6% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.11× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 18.81× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEM $115.34 $126.87 +10%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥30.01 ¥44.45 +48%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $185.83 $219.71 +18%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $135.39 $87.78 −35%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $239.30 $263.23 +10%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $99.03 $88.60 −11%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$143.10 HK$238.73 +67%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $24.06 $51.30 +113%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$22.11 A$19.86 −10%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $238.93 $262.82 +10%

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Titan Minerals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0600 −89%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Titan Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTM

Frequently asked questions

Is Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0600 versus a price of A$0.5450, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTM?
Our model-based fair value for Titan Minerals Ltd is A$0.0600 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.5450.
What is the quality score of TTM?
Titan Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0600 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0400, optimistic scenario A$0.0700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Titan Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0600, about −89% upside versus a price of A$0.5450 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0400, optimistic scenario A$0.0700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
Titan Minerals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$6.0M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Titan Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0600 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.5450. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Titan Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, TTM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.5450, fair value A$0.0600, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.5450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0600). For Titan Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.4850 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Titan Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Titan Minerals Ltd at about A$156M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.5450; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTM?
Our models span a range for Titan Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0400, base A$0.0600, optimistic A$0.0700 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$0.5450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Titan Minerals Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −7.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTM from its 52-week high?
Titan Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.5450, about 53% below its 52-week high of A$1.16 and 24% above the low of A$0.4400 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Titan Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Titan Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$0.5450, calculated fair value A$0.0600 (−89%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTM calculated?
We run Titan Minerals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Titan Minerals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was A$0.5450. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0600, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Titan Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Titan Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
The market capitalisation of Titan Minerals Ltd is A$156M (≈ $108M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Titan Minerals Ltd is 27.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
Earnings per share at Titan Minerals Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Titan Minerals Ltd is −7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Titan Minerals Ltd is −6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
Revenue at Titan Minerals Ltd is growing −37.6% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM)?
Earnings per share at Titan Minerals Ltd are growing −67.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM) generate?
The free cash flow of Titan Minerals Ltd is −$4.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Titan Minerals Ltd (TTM) hold?
Titan Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, $18.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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