Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal stock TRY 2.76, price TRY 2.03, upside +36.0%, quality 12 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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SpeculativeFair value well above the price, but weak quality and a downtrend.Plus: Even on cautious assumptions the value is 36% above the price (2.76 TRY).
The stock costs 26% less than our calculation considers fair.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.08 TRY – 10.08 TRY · fair‑value band 2.76 TRY – 4.53 TRY · the 2.03 TRY price screens below the 2.76 TRY fair value. As of Oct 23, 2026.
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Tugçelik Alüminyum Ve Metal Mamulleri Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the aluminum production in Turkey. It also involved melting, foundry, molding shop, CNC machining, and other processes activities.
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It serves automotive, white goods, telecommunication, agricultural equipment, electrical, and mechanical industries. Tugçelik Alüminyum Ve Metal Mamulleri Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK) currently trades at 2.03 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.76 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 4.85 TRY per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 2.03 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.38 TRY, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.76 TRY (bear) to 4.53 TRY (bull), the price of 2.03 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 12/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal reported revenue of 2.0B TRY in FY2025 versus 324M TRY in FY2021, a compound +57.3%/yr. Reported net income was −127M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 731M TRY (≈ $14.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) −0.9400 TRY · Net margin −6.4% · Return on equity −7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 0.3% · Revenue (TTM) 1.7B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at 36%, TUCLK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2.76 TRYFair Value 2.76 TRYBull4.53 TRY
Price 2.03 TRY · Upside +36.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV1.12 TRY1.38 TRY1.59 TRY74
ROIC Compounder1.12 TRY1.38 TRY1.59 TRY72
EV/EBITDA2.97 TRY5.16 TRY7.34 TRY65
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV1.12 TRY1.38 TRY1.59 TRY74
Multiples
EV/EBIT0.8500 TRY2.33 TRY3.82 TRY61
EV/EBITDA2.97 TRY5.16 TRY7.34 TRY65
EV/Revenuen/a0.9400 TRY2.30 TRY50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)3.62 TRY4.85 TRY7.24 TRY54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder1.12 TRY1.38 TRY1.59 TRY72
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +38.0% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.5% (2020) → 5.9% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 252 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score12 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+36.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−15.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−17.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.13× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TUCLK
Frequently asked questions
Is Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.76 TRY versus a price of 2.03 TRY, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TUCLK?
Our model-based fair value for Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is 2.76 TRY (as of Oct 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.03 TRY.
What is the quality score of TUCLK?
Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal has a Quality Score of 12/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.76 TRY (as of Oct 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.76 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.53 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.76 TRY, about +36% upside versus a price of 2.03 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.76 TRY, optimistic scenario 4.53 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal it is 2.76 TRY per share (as of Oct 23, 2026), against a price of 2.03 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 23, 2026, TUCLK trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.03 TRY, fair value 2.76 TRY, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TUCLK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.03 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.76 TRY). For Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal the two are 0.7310 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal worth?
The market values Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal at about 731M TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 23, 2026). Per share that is 2.03 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 2.76 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TUCLK?
Our models span a range for Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal: cautious scenario 2.76 TRY, base 2.76 TRY, optimistic 4.53 TRY per share (as of Oct 23, 2026, price 2.03 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (as of Oct 23, 2026): return on equity −7.2%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 12/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TUCLK from its 52-week high?
Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal trades at 2.03 TRY, about 65% below its 52-week high of 5.80 TRY and 4% above the low of 1.95 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.76 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 23, 2026: price 2.03 TRY, calculated fair value 2.76 TRY (+36%), Quality Score 12/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TUCLK calculated?
We run Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.76 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 2.03 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 2.76 TRY, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (12/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.76 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal
How large is the market capitalisation of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
The market capitalisation of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is 731M TRY (≈ $14.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
Earnings per share at Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal are −0.9400 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
The net margin of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is −6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
The operating margin of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
Revenue at Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is growing −17.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +43.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK)?
Earnings per share at Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal are growing +15.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK) generate?
The free cash flow of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is −2.7B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal (TUCLK) carry?
The net debt of Tugcelik Aluminyum ve Metal is 1.3B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 23, 2026