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Tudor Gold Corp (TUD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Tudor Gold Corp C$0.19, price C$0.92, upside -79.4%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA89901P1071

TG Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Tudor Gold Corp

TUD · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.1900 · Strongly overvalued (−79%)
!Quality 28/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$2.76 C$0.4900 Fair Value C$0.1900 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.4900 – C$2.76 · fair‑value band C$0.1400 – C$0.2800 · the C$0.9200 price screens above the C$0.1900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Tudor Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in Canada. The company primarily explores for gold, copper, silver, and other precious and base metals.

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Tudor Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in Canada. The company primarily explores for gold, copper, silver, and other precious and base metals. Its flagship project is the Treaty Creek property covering approximately an area of 17,913 hectares located in the Golden Triangle area to the north of Stewart, British Columbia. Tudor Gold Corp. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Tudor Gold Corp (TUD) currently trades at C$0.9200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1900, implying the stock looks roughly 384.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.1400 (bear) to C$0.2800 (bull), the price of C$0.9200 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Tudor Gold Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$6.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$390M (≈ $276M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100 · Return on equity −1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.5% · Free cash flow −C$3.0M · Net cash C$7.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −79%, TUD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.1400 Fair Value C$0.1900 Bull C$0.2800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1400 C$0.1900 C$0.2800 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1400 C$0.1900 C$0.2800 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 8
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TUD screens 384% overvalued. Compare with Zijin Mining Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.39× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥31.41 ¥43.81 +39%
Newmont Corporation NEM A$177.02 A$265.78 +50%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $195.57 $222.49 +14%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $42.49 $65.40 +54%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $260.91 $287.00 +10%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $145.45 $89.12 −39%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $104.60 $88.63 −15%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$146.60 HK$83.20 −43%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $27.62 $51.30 +86%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $252.78 $278.06 +10%

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Tudor Gold Corp · Fair Value
C$0.1900 −384%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tudor Gold Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TUD

Frequently asked questions

Is Tudor Gold Corp (TUD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1900 versus a price of C$0.9200, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TUD?
Our model-based fair value for Tudor Gold Corp is C$0.1900 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.9200.
What is the quality score of TUD?
Tudor Gold Corp has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tudor Gold Corp (TUD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1900 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1400, optimistic scenario C$0.2800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tudor Gold Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1900, about −79% upside versus a price of C$0.9200 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1400, optimistic scenario C$0.2800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Tudor Gold Corp (TUD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tudor Gold Corp it is C$0.1900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$0.9200. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tudor Gold Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TUD trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.9200, fair value C$0.1900, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TUD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.9200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1900). For Tudor Gold Corp the two are C$0.7300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tudor Gold Corp worth?
The market values Tudor Gold Corp at about C$390M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$0.9200; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TUD?
Our models span a range for Tudor Gold Corp: cautious scenario C$0.1400, base C$0.1900, optimistic C$0.2800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$0.9200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tudor Gold Corp (TUD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tudor Gold Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TUD from its 52-week high?
Tudor Gold Corp trades at C$0.9200, about 41% below its 52-week high of C$1.57 and 21% above the low of C$0.7600 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tudor Gold Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tudor Gold Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$0.9200, calculated fair value C$0.1900 (−79%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TUD calculated?
We run Tudor Gold Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.1900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Tudor Gold Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tudor Gold Corp (TUD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$0.9200. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1900, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tudor Gold Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.2800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.1400 to C$0.2800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Tudor Gold Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Tudor Gold Corp (TUD)?
The market capitalisation of Tudor Gold Corp is C$390M (≈ $276M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Tudor Gold Corp (TUD)?
Earnings per share at Tudor Gold Corp are C$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Tudor Gold Corp (TUD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tudor Gold Corp is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tudor Gold Corp (TUD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tudor Gold Corp is −8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Tudor Gold Corp (TUD) generate?
The free cash flow of Tudor Gold Corp is −C$3.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Tudor Gold Corp (TUD) hold?
Tudor Gold Corp holds more cash than debt, C$7.2M net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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