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Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Tuktu Resources Ltd. C$0.02, price C$0.02, upside -10.0%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · CA

TR Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Tuktu Resources Ltd.

TUK · V

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value C$0.0180 · Overvalued (−10%)
!Quality 24/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +47.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -183.8% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$0.2600 C$0.0100 Fair Value C$0.0180 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0100 – C$0.2600 · fair‑value band C$0.0180 – C$0.0200 · the C$0.0200 price screens above the C$0.0180 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Tuktu Resources Ltd. operates as an oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company in Canada. The company explores for copper; and offers crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.

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Tuktu Resources Ltd. operates as an oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company in Canada. The company explores for copper; and offers crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. It holds a portfolio of oil and natural gas properties located in Eastern and Southern Alberta, as well as mineral properties situated in British Columbia. The company was formerly known as Jasper Mining Corporation and changed its name to Tuktu Resources Ltd. in October 2022. Tuktu Resources Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Stock analysis

Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK) currently trades at C$0.0200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0180, implying the stock looks roughly 11.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0180 (bear) to C$0.0200 (bull), the price of C$0.0200 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Tuktu Resources Ltd. reported revenue of C$9.0M in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$7.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$5.3M (≈ $3.8M) · P/S ratio 1.07 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0400 · Net margin −78.6% · Return on equity −128% · Return on assets (EBIT) −27.5% · Operating margin −21.5% · Revenue (TTM) C$4.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −10%, TUK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0180 Fair Value C$0.0180 Bull C$0.0200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0100 C$0.0100 C$0.0200 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0100 C$0.0100 C$0.0200 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 29
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TUK screens 11% overvalued. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −35% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −184% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −22% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −31% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)20 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $129.34 $90.15 −30%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.84 HK$39.90 +67%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.64 $52.40 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $141.84 $165.02 +16%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.36 $33.34 −42%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.65 $242.64 +31%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.04 $52.84 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.06 $56.17 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $335.74 $318.28 −5%

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Tuktu Resources Ltd. · Fair Value
C$0.0180 −11%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tuktu Resources Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TUK

Frequently asked questions

Is Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0180 versus a price of C$0.0200, about −10% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TUK?
Our model-based fair value for Tuktu Resources Ltd. is C$0.0180 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.0200.
What is the quality score of TUK?
Tuktu Resources Ltd. has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0180 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0180, optimistic scenario C$0.0200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tuktu Resources Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0180, about −10% upside versus a price of C$0.0200 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0180, optimistic scenario C$0.0200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
Tuktu Resources Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$4.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tuktu Resources Ltd. it is C$0.0180 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.0200. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tuktu Resources Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TUK trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.0200, fair value C$0.0180, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TUK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.0200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0180). For Tuktu Resources Ltd. the two are C$0.0020 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tuktu Resources Ltd. worth?
The market values Tuktu Resources Ltd. at about C$5.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.0200; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0180 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TUK?
Our models span a range for Tuktu Resources Ltd.: cautious scenario C$0.0180, base C$0.0180, optimistic C$0.0200 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.0200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tuktu Resources Ltd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −128.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TUK from its 52-week high?
Tuktu Resources Ltd. trades at C$0.0200, about 60% below its 52-week high of C$0.0500 and 100% above the low of C$0.0100 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0180 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tuktu Resources Ltd.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tuktu Resources Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.0200, calculated fair value C$0.0180 (−10%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TUK calculated?
We run Tuktu Resources Ltd. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0180, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Tuktu Resources Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was C$0.0200. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0180, about −10% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tuktu Resources Ltd. right now?
The models converge in a tight band (C$0.0180 to C$0.0200), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Tuktu Resources Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
The market capitalisation of Tuktu Resources Ltd. is C$5.3M (≈ $3.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tuktu Resources Ltd. is 1.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
Earnings per share at Tuktu Resources Ltd. are C$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
The net margin of Tuktu Resources Ltd. is −78.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tuktu Resources Ltd. is −128% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tuktu Resources Ltd. is −27.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
The operating margin of Tuktu Resources Ltd. is −21.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
Revenue at Tuktu Resources Ltd. is growing −31.2% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK)?
Earnings per share at Tuktu Resources Ltd. are growing −88.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tuktu Resources Ltd. (TUK) generate?
The free cash flow of Tuktu Resources Ltd. is −C$6.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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